- The Diamondbacks are -165 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Robert Anderson
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Colorado Rockies (+135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-165) on Thursday, June 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 24-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 34-22 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -135 | O 9.5 -105 | +135 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +110 | U 9.5 -115 | -165 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 76.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+8.85 Units / 111% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+7.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+7.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 18 away games (+6.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+11.60 Units / 64% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.35 Units / 41% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Davies | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Connor Seabold | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+7.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 38 games (+6.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 38 games (+5.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+5.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 53 games (+13.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 55 games (+13.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+10.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 49% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 26-31 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -11.71% ROI).
- 24-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -3.42% ROI
- 25-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.45 Units / -16.46% ROI
- 32-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.05 Units / 8.15% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 34-22 against the Run Line (+11.85 Units / 16.94% ROI).
- 33-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.25 Units / 17.23% ROI
- 27-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -2.96% ROI
- 26-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -5.01% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Connor Seabold has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (36 Total Bases / 54 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .394 — first Percentile.
Connor Seabold has allowed an OPS of 1.198 (61 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .773 — 0 Percentile.
Connor Seabold has allowed an OPS of .789 (91 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .527 — 0 Percentile.
Connor Seabold has allowed an OPS of 1.037 (77 PA’s) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .666 — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Davies has located his fastball away 65% of the time (867/1,335) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Davies has a strike rate of just 53% (426/806) when ahead in the count since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (54/254) against Zach Davies with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Zach Davies has located his fastball away 65% of the time (867/1,335) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 2-12 (.143) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .435.
The Rockies are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Rockies are just 1-27 (.036) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .135.
The Rockies are just 32-15 (.681) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 93-8 (.921) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Diamondbacks are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Diamondbacks are just 22-11 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Diamondbacks are 25-2 (.926) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Rockies hitters are slugging just .358 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.3 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .541 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .450.
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (185/8,067) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 4%.
Diamondbacks hitters have drawn 44 walks in 669 PA’s (7%) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .307 in hitter’s counts since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 59 of 494 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Anthony Misiewicz (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): oblique, D15
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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