- The Diamondbacks are -135 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Karl Kauffmann, 4.50 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Drey Jameson, 4.05 ERA
The Colorado Rockies (+115) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-135) on Sunday, March 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Scottsdale.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Rockies are 3-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 5-5 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -165 | O 11.5 +100 | +115 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +135 | U 11.5 -120 | -135 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 65.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seth Beer has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jordan Luplow has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 109 games (+13.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 71 games (+7.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 away games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 69 games (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 4-5 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -20.48% ROI).
- 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -24.73% ROI
- 1-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -67.51% ROI
- 7-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.9 Units / 59.3% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -4.98% ROI).
- 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -28.5% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -4.07% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -2.74% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drey Jameson had a strikeout rate of 50% (10/20) with runners in scoring position over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .061 (3-for-49) against Drey Jameson with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .162 — 99th Percentile.
Drey Jameson allowed an OBP of just .132 (53 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 97th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 62% (20/32) against Drey Jameson over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 27-54 (.333) on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Rockies are just 11-15 (.423) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are 53-4 (.930) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rockies are just 15-33 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks are just 33-184 (.152) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters are slugging just .344 on the road since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Rockies have won just 42% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Diamondbacks hitters chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OPS of just .655 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 407.8 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of 2020 is 408.0 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.5
Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 8% of innings played last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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