Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 12, 2023, 11:09 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -135 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Karl Kauffmann, 4.50 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Drey Jameson, 4.05 ERA

The Colorado Rockies (+115) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-135) on Sunday, March 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Scottsdale.

The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Rockies are 3-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 5-5 ATS.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -165O 11.5 +100+115
Diamondbacks -1.5 +135U 11.5 -120-135

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 65.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • No trends found

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Seth Beer has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Jordan Luplow has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 109 games (+13.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 71 games (+7.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 away games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 69 games (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 4-5 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -20.48% ROI).

  • 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -24.73% ROI
  • 1-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -67.51% ROI
  • 7-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.9 Units / 59.3% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -4.98% ROI).

  • 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -28.5% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -4.07% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -2.74% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Drey Jameson had a strikeout rate of 50% (10/20) with runners in scoring position over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .061 (3-for-49) against Drey Jameson with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .162 — 99th Percentile.

Drey Jameson allowed an OBP of just .132 (53 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 97th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 62% (20/32) against Drey Jameson over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 27-54 (.333) on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Rockies are just 11-15 (.423) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 53-4 (.930) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rockies are just 15-33 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks are just 33-184 (.152) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rockies hitters are slugging just .344 on the road since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

The Rockies have won just 42% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Diamondbacks hitters chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Diamondbacks hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Diamondbacks hitters had an OPS of just .655 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 407.8 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.3

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of 2020 is 408.0 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.5

Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 8% of innings played last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.