- The Diamondbacks are -325 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rockies / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+240) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-300) on Sunday, May 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ, AZ.
This season, the Rockies are 8-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 21-25 ATS.
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Chase Dollander 2-4, 6.89 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 4-2, 3.73 ERA
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +2.5 -140 | O 9 -105 | +240 |
| Diamondbacks | -2.5 +115 | U 9 -115 | -300 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 71.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+12.40 Units / 310% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Adael Amador has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.25 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+10.80 Units / 135% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 44 games (+15.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.57 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+7.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+5.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 77% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 15-30 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -30.46% ROI).
- 8-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.35 Units / -48.96% ROI
- 19-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -17.07% ROI
- 25-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 7.83% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 21-25 against the Run Line (-7.71 Units / -12.9% ROI).
- 24-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -5.39% ROI
- 21-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -6.8% ROI
- 22-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -2.58% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly (ARI) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Chase Dollander (COL) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Dollander has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.308 (34 Total Bases / 26 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .576 — 0 Percentile.
Chase Dollander has allowed an OPS of 1.875 (38 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 1.027 — 0 Percentile.
Chase Dollander has a strike rate of just 61% (97/160) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 69% — first Percentile.
Chase Dollander has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to April 19th — Andrew Abbott has the longest active streak at 8.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .185 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .154 (12-for-78) against Merrill Kelly when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .154 (12-for-78) against Merrill Kelly when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .236 — 97th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OPS of just .416 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .682 — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 58-9 (.853) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Rockies are just 89-36 (.706) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Rockies are just 49-136 (.263) on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Rockies are just 4-32 (.111) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 17-6 (.739) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.
The Diamondbacks are just 20-4 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Diamondbacks are 153-36 (.805) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Diamondbacks are 20-3 (.870) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 12% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .276 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Diamondbacks have scored 1.76 runs per game (366/208) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a in-zone of just 48% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (4,288 batted balls) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
Diamondbacks pitchers have won 36% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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