Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 29, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Diamondbacks are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Karl Kauffmann
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-200) on Monday, May 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 24-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 31-22 ATS.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -110O 9.5 -110+165
Diamondbacks -1.5 -110U 9.5 -110-200

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 78.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+8.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.60 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+7.55 Units / 108% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+7.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 58% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.35 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.75 Units / 54% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Josh Rojas 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Pavin Smith 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Christian Walker 0.5 +400 0.5 -700

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Jurickson Profar 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Josh Rojas 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Pavin Smith 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Christian Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Josh Rojas 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Pavin Smith 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Christian Walker 0.5 +110 0.5 -150

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryne Nelson 4.5 -105 4.5 -125
Karl Kauffmann 3.5 +125 3.5 -165
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+10.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.60 Units / 30% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 26-28 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -6.92% ROI).

  • 24-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 1.67% ROI
  • 24-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.15 Units / -15.22% ROI
  • 30-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 7.06% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 31-22 against the Run Line (+8.7 Units / 13.06% ROI).

  • 30-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 14.2% ROI
  • 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.93% ROI
  • 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -6.85% ROI

Karl Kauffmann has limited playing time.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryne Nelson has struck out just 11% (11/104) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (27/172) against Ryne Nelson this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Ryne Nelson’s K:BB ratio is 25.0 (25/1) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.8 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .250 (26-for-104) against Ryne Nelson with two-strikes this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .168 — sixth Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .903.

The Rockies are just 36-70 (.340) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Rockies are just 2-9 (.182) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .432.

The Rockies are just 1-24 (.040) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 75-20 (.789) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

The Diamondbacks are 7-2 (.778) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .467.

The Diamondbacks were just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks are 23-2 (.920) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.3 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .194 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .299 (2,320 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Rockies pitchers have walked 56 of 461 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
  • Anthony Misiewicz (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
  • Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
  • Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
  • Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
  • Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): oblique, D15
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
  • Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.