- The Diamondbacks are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Karl Kauffmann
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-200) on Monday, May 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 24-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 31-22 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -110 | O 9.5 -110 | +165 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 -110 | U 9.5 -110 | -200 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 78.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+8.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.60 Units / 94% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+7.55 Units / 108% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+7.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.35 Units / 61% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.75 Units / 54% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryne Nelson | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Karl Kauffmann | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -165 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+10.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 26-28 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -6.92% ROI).
- 24-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 1.67% ROI
- 24-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.15 Units / -15.22% ROI
- 30-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 7.06% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 31-22 against the Run Line (+8.7 Units / 13.06% ROI).
- 30-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 14.2% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.93% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -6.85% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Karl Kauffmann has limited playing time.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has struck out just 11% (11/104) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (27/172) against Ryne Nelson this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Ryne Nelson’s K:BB ratio is 25.0 (25/1) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.8 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .250 (26-for-104) against Ryne Nelson with two-strikes this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .168 — sixth Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Rockies are just 36-70 (.340) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Rockies are just 2-9 (.182) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .432.
The Rockies are just 1-24 (.040) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 75-20 (.789) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Diamondbacks are 7-2 (.778) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The Diamondbacks were just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks are 23-2 (.920) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.3 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .194 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .299 (2,320 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have walked 56 of 461 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Anthony Misiewicz (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): oblique, D15
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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