- The Diamondbacks are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Colorado Rockies (+200) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-250) on Tuesday, May 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 24-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 32-22 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +100 | O 8.5 -110 | +200 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 -120 | U 8.5 -110 | -250 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 86.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+8.85 Units / 111% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 away games (+8.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.80 Units / 111% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+7.25 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.35 Units / 61% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+10.25 Units / 59% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.45 Units / 40% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
| Kyle Freeland | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 36 games (+7.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 53 games (+11.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 51 games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 46 games (+8.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 46 games (+7.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 26-29 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -8.5% ROI).
- 24-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.09% ROI
- 25-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -13.32% ROI
- 30-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.05 Units / 5.09% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 32-22 against the Run Line (+9.7 Units / 14.33% ROI).
- 31-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 15.26% ROI
- 27-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 0.75% ROI
- 24-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -8.59% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .242 against Kyle Freeland on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for eighth best among qualified SPs– 90th Percentile. Opponents batted .438 (49-for-112) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — second worst among qualified SPs– fourth Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .510 (53 Total Bases / 104 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has thrown elevated sliders38% of the time (67/178) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 57 of Kyle Freeland’s 317 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .150 (147 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .094 (13-for-138) against Zac Gallen with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .167 — 96th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 56% when ahead in the count (tied for seventh lowest)– 10th Percentile and 74% when behind in the count this season (ninth highest among qualified SPs)– 87th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (44/112) against Zac Gallen with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Rockies are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Rockies are just 47-39 (.547) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Rockies are just 36-71 (.336) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are 7-2 (.778) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Diamondbacks are just 82-14 (.854) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Diamondbacks are just 22-11 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Diamondbacks are just 76-20 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .878.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.2 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of .803 (4,189 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .769 (1,404 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 267 strikeouts in 1,404 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .200 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Anthony Misiewicz (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): oblique, D15
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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