- The Diamondbacks are -165 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Dinelson Lamet
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Thomas Henry
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Colorado Rockies (+140) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-165) on Wednesday, May 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 24-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 33-22 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -135 | O 10 -110 | +140 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +110 | U 10 -110 | -165 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 77.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+8.85 Units / 111% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+8.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 17 away games (+7.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+7.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.35 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.35 Units / 61% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+10.25 Units / 59% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+9.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ryne Nelson has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 52% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Henry | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 37 games (+6.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 54 games (+12.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 52 games (+12.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 47 games (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 26-30 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -9.89% ROI).
- 24-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -1.78% ROI
- 25-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -14.98% ROI
- 31-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.05 Units / 6.65% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 33-22 against the Run Line (+10.7 Units / 15.52% ROI).
- 32-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.25 Units / 16.18% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -1.22% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -6.77% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tommy Henry has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.100 (22 Total Bases / 20 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .431 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (10-for-20) against Tommy Henry’s inside fastball this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .265 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .565 (13-for-23) against Tommy Henry on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .360 — second Percentile.
Tommy Henry has a strike rate of just 58% (79/137) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 68% — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Rockies are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rockies are just 2-11 (.154) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Rockies are just 36-72 (.333) on the road since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 77-20 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .878.
The Diamondbacks are just 22-11 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Diamondbacks are 24-2 (.923) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Diamondbacks are just 83-14 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.4 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (185/8,035) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 4%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 267 strikeouts in 1,411 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have missed on just 22% of swings this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .300 (2,354 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 30% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Anthony Misiewicz (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): oblique, D15
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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