- The Diamondbacks are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Peter Lambert
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly
- Watch the game on ARID
The Colorado Rockies (+200) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-250) on Monday, September 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 49-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 73-62 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +100 | O 8.5 -110 | +200 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 -120 | U 8.5 -110 | -250 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 83.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 44 games (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 away games (+11.80 Units / 90% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 9 away games (+9.10 Units / 74% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 42 games (+8.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 46 games (+8.50 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+14.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+11.40 Units / 67% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Peter Lambert | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Merrill Kelly | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -160 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+16.16 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 46 games (+14.07 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 away games (+10.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.90 Units / 42% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games at home (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.64 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.46 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+7.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games at home (+5.89 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 64-70 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -5.12% ROI).
- 49-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.25 Units / -12.66% ROI
- 60-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.15 Units / -13% ROI
- 72-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.95 Units / 4.78% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 73-62 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 2.37% ROI).
- 69-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 3.16% ROI
- 59-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.2 Units / -12.05% ROI
- 69-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.45 Units / 3.73% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 12-12 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 34-18 (.654) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.
The Rockies are just 38-11 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Rockies are just 35-23 (.603) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 108-21 (.837) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 123-13 (.904) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 51-36 (.586) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Diamondbacks were just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 49% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.1 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (5,558 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .681 (3,117 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (184/11,132) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .302 (3,117 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers this season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.2
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dominic Fletcher (Diamondbacks): Finger, D60
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Austin Adams (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D60
- Thomas Henry (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Drey Jameson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Austin Gomber (Rockies): Back, Day-to-Day
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Bard (Rockies): Forearm, D15
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