- The Diamondbacks are -210 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt
- Watch the game on ARID
The Colorado Rockies (+170) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-210) on Tuesday, September 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 49-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 74-62 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -120 | O 9 -110 | +170 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +100 | U 9 -110 | -210 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 68.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 45 games (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+10.80 Units / 77% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 43 games (+9.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 47 games (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 9 away games (+9.10 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+14.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+11.40 Units / 67% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
| Kyle Freeland | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 46 games (+15.16 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 47 games (+13.07 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 away games (+9.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 35% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games at home (+11.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.46 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.39 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games at home (+6.94 Units / 10% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 64-71 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -5.74% ROI).
- 49-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units / -13.29% ROI
- 60-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.35 Units / -13.7% ROI
- 73-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.95 Units / 5.43% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 74-62 against the Run Line (+5.1 Units / 2.93% ROI).
- 70-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 3.72% ROI
- 59-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.4 Units / -12.74% ROI
- 70-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.45 Units / 4.38% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has allowed an OPS of .915 (472 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .700 — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .313 (136-for-434) against Kyle Freeland this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .283 (76-for-269) against Kyle Freeland when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .189 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 14% (89 SO in 613 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 60% (27/45) against Brandon Pfaadt on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (33/112) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .652 (92 Total Bases / 141 ABs) on fastballs this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .457 — fourth Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OPS of .871 (311 PA’s) this season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .740 — eighth Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 34-18 (.654) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Rockies are just 12-12 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Rockies are just 35-23 (.603) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rockies are just 38-11 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 124-13 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 109-21 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks are just 30-14 (.682) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Diamondbacks are just 51-36 (.586) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .291 (1,468 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Rockies are batting .293 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .674 (1,468 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .743.
The Rockies are batting .276 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 1,077 strikeouts in 5,209 PA’s (21%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .302 (3,124 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .236 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.27 (607.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kenneth Kelly (Diamondbacks): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Dominic Fletcher (Diamondbacks): Finger, D60
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Austin Adams (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D60
- Thomas Henry (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Drey Jameson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Austin Gomber (Rockies): Back, Day-to-Day
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Bard (Rockies): Forearm, D15
Bet now on Rockies vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
