- The Diamondbacks are -210 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Colorado Rockies (+170) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-210) on Wednesday, September 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 50-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 74-63 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -125 | O 9 -105 | +170 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +105 | U 9 -115 | -210 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 80.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 46 games (+10.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 10 away games (+10.10 Units / 74% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+9.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 48 games (+8.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 44 games (+8.40 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+15.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+12.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+11.40 Units / 67% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+10.60 Units / 133% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Hunter Goodman | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Hunter Goodman | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Hunter Goodman | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Flexen | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
| Zach Davies | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 47 games (+16.91 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 48 games (+14.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.40 Units / 26% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games at home (+12.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games (+9.39 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games at home (+8.04 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.13 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+6.15 Units / 22% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 65-71 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -5.05% ROI).
- 50-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -11.82% ROI
- 60-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.4 Units / -14.31% ROI
- 74-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.95 Units / 6.06% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 74-63 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 2.28% ROI).
- 70-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 2.3% ROI
- 59-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.45 Units / -13.34% ROI
- 71-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.45 Units / 5.03% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .400 (24-for-60) against Chris Flexen’s elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .231 — 0 Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (44 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .407 — 0 Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed an OPS of .993 (205 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .733 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed an OBP of .387 (204 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .310 — second Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Davies has located his pitches away 66% of the time (580/878) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 40% of Zach Davies’ pitches (481/1,194) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Zach Davies has located his fastball away 64% of the time (1,194/1,878) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (924/2,572) against Zach Davies in non-two strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 35-18 (.660) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Rockies are just 12-12 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 39-11 (.780) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Rockies are just 35-23 (.603) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 109-21 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 124-13 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 30-14 (.682) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Diamondbacks are just 61-7 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.1 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .289 (1,476 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Rockies are batting just .232 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .635 (5,627 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (184/11,200) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .302 (3,150 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Rockies have allowed 6.78 runs per game (454/67) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.65.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kenneth Kelly (Diamondbacks): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Dominic Fletcher (Diamondbacks): Finger, D60
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Austin Adams (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D60
- Thomas Henry (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Drey Jameson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Austin Gomber (Rockies): Back, Day-to-Day
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Bard (Rockies): Forearm, D15
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