Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 04, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (49-29) are -300 favorites vs the Rockies (35-44)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland (4-5), 4.30 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías (6-6), 2.64 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Colorado Rockies (+240) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-300) on Monday, July 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).

The Rockies vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 35-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 45-33 ATS.

Rockies vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+2.5 -125O 8 +100+240
Dodgers -2.5 +105U 8 -120-300

Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 44% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 41 games (+11.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+8.25 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+6.85 Units / 12% ROI)

Dodgers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Gavin Lux 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Justin Turner 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Max Muncy 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Dodgers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Gavin Lux 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Justin Turner 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Max Muncy 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Dodgers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Gavin Lux 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Justin Turner 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Max Muncy 0.5 +150 0.5 -225

Dodgers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Urias 5.5 +100 5.5 -145
Kyle Freeland 3.5 -165 3.5 +120
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 68 games (+6.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 64 games (+5.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 games (+4.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 75 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 78 games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 74 games (+6.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 22% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 41-38 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -3.55% ROI).

  • 35-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -2.1% ROI
  • 39-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.23% ROI
  • 35-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -9.49% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 45-33 against the Run Line (+9.5 Units / 10.3% ROI).

  • 49-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -6.58% ROI
  • 30-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.25 Units / -18.95% ROI
  • 42-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.7 Units / 10.1% ROI

Kyle Freeland has allowed an OPS of 1.045 (213 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: .723 — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (90/176) of right-handed hitters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.

11 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 15% (58 SO in 376 PAs) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.

Julio Urías: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Julio Urias has a strike rate of 73% (749/1,031) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has a strike rate of 71% (885/1,242) vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (131/325) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.2 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (118 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 88.0

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Rockies are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 4-10 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 27-1 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .920.

The Rockies are just 6-17 (.261) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Dodgers are 102-45 (.694) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Dodgers are 19-6 (.760) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Dodgers are 23-6 (.793) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .672.

The Dodgers are 43-3 (.935) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.6 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9.

The Rockies are batting .298 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Rockies are batting .280 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Rockies are batting .309 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .772 (2,105 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Dodgers hitters have drawn 657 walks in 6,518 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .333 (6,518 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.3 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.5

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (1,817 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 42% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Dodgers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Foot, Day-to-Day
  • Zachary McKinstry (Dodgers): Neck, D10
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Caleb Ferguson (Dodgers): Undisclosed, D15
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.