- The Giants are -275 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Colorado Rockies (+220) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-275) on Sunday, July 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Rockies vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 34-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 46-43 ATS.
Rockies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +2.5 -135 | O 8 -120 | +220 |
| Giants | -2.5 +110 | U 8 +100 | -275 |
Rockies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 86.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Jones has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Coco Montes has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+16.20 Units / 64% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.70 Units / 70% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- Luis Matos has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Giants vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Giants vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Giants vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Kyle Freeland | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 away games (+12.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+10.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+8.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 40-50 against the Run Line (-14.2 Units / -13.49% ROI).
- 34-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -11.52% ROI
- 39-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.2 Units / -17.17% ROI
- 51-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.1 Units / 9.29% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 46-43 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 0.64% ROI).
- 48-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.04% ROI
- 40-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -10.89% ROI
- 46-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 2.51% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .513 (60 Total Bases / 117 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .302 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (90/582) against Kyle Freeland this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 12% (8 SO in 69 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — fourth Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 15% (63 SO in 416 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (199/327) against Logan Webb this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (278/452) against Logan Webb since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has walked 9 of 235 left-handed batters (4%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 37% of the time (119/319) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Rockies are just 22-9 (.710) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Rockies are just 34-18 (.654) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 21-67 (.239) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .356.
The Rockies are just 19-36 (.345) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Giants are 41-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Giants are 30-24 (.556) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Giants are 106-2 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Giants are 37-6 (.860) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Giants hitters have 239 strikeouts in 933 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .186 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .701 (1,696 PA’s) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.79 (781.2 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Rockies have won just 4% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.37 (397.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 239 of 3,354 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, D15
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder inflammation, D15
- Brent Suter (Rockies): Oblique, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): Oblique, D15
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