Rockies vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 24, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Guardians are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-200) on Monday, April 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Rockies vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 6-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 8-14 ATS.

Rockies vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -120O 8 -110+165
Guardians -1.5 +100U 8 -110-200

Rockies vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Rockies vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Yonathan Daza has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.10 Units / 57% ROI)

Guardians vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
C.J. Cron 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Elias Diaz 0.5 +900 0.5 -5000
Steven Kwan 0.5 +1250 0.5

Guardians vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
C.J. Cron 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Elias Diaz 0.5 -160 0.5 +125
Steven Kwan 1.5 +190 1.5 -250

Guardians vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
C.J. Cron 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +260 0.5 -375
Elias Diaz 0.5 +260 0.5 -375
Steven Kwan 0.5 +250 0.5 -350

Guardians vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Gomber 3.5 +110 3.5 -150
Cal Quantrill 4.5 -125 4.5 -105
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.35 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.65 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 7-16 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -37.6% ROI).

  • 6-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.6 Units / -38.02% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -9.41% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 1.62% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 8-14 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -21.11% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -11.9% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -9.24% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.21% ROI

Austin Gomber has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (38/84) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .848 (39 Total Bases / 46 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .401 — 0 Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (22 Total Bases / 22 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .415 — 0 Percentile.

Austin Gomber has an ERA of 12.12 (16.1 IP)this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 4.44 — first Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cal Quantrill has struck out just 10% (5/52) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 11 of Cal Quantrill’s 82 off-speed pitches out of the zone (13%) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (26/171) against Cal Quantrill this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (3/32) against Cal Quantrill on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rockies are just 36-36 (.500) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The Rockies are just 25-13 (.658) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .807.

The Rockies are just 45-27 (.625) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Rockies are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Guardians are 20-63 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Guardians are 4-6 (.400) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .122.

The Guardians are 1-8 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .037.

The Guardians are 14-66 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.

Rockies hitters are slugging just .335 on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

Guardians hitters have just 899 strikeouts in 5,147 PA’s (17%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians hitters struck out just 795 times in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have just 1,286 strikeouts in 7,019 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.42 (830.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.

Rockies pitchers have walked 25 of 197 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Guardians pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 100 of 1,661 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 497 of 6,835 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Sam D. Hentges (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
  • Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Forearm, D15
  • Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
  • Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.