- The Guardians are -235 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Guardians Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rockies / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+195) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-235) on Monday, July 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH, OH.
This season, the Rockies are 27-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 55-49 ATS.
Rockies vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Bradley Blalock 1-2, 8.89 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 5-4, 3.79 ERA
Rockies vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -102 | O 9 -120 | +195 |
| Guardians | -1.5 -118 | U 9 +100 | -235 |
Rockies vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB game with 67.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jordan Beck has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jordan Beck has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 39% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 105 games (+19.57 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 52 away games (+16.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 105 games (+12.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 46 games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+11.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 59 of their last 102 games (+11.04 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+9.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.85 Units / 24% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 43-62 against the Run Line (-16.5 Units / -14.18% ROI).
- 27-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.9 Units / -30.08% ROI
- 42-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.5 Units / -19.5% ROI
- 59-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.95 Units / 11.2% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 55-49 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -0.49% ROI).
- 52-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -0.45% ROI
- 46-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -11.6% ROI
- 55-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 3.9% ROI
Guardians vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mickey Moniak (COL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Guardians vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mickey Moniak (COL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Daniel Schneemann (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Thairo Estrada (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Guardians vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Angel Martínez (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Guardians vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley Blalock (COL) | 2.5 -135 | 2.5 +105 |
| Slade Cecconi (CLE) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 8% (6/77) against Bradley Blalock this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Bradley Blalock has not struck out a hitter in his last 40 PAs against a LHH dating back to May 3rd — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Bradley Blalock has a strikeout rate of just 2% (1 SO in 45 PAs) this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .341 (14-for-41) against Bradley Blalock this month (2 games) — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .246 — fifth Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Slade Cecconi has a strikeout rate of just 7% (4 SO in 55 PAs) over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has a strikeout rate of just 17% (4 SO in 24 PAs) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has allowed an OPS of 1.046 (239 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .710 — 0 Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has not struck out any hitters in 18 PA’s when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rockies are just 62-22 (.729) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.
The Rockies are just 74-11 (.860) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Rockies are just 88-178 (.330) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 24-65 (.270) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Guardians are 113-5 (.958) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .865.
The Guardians are 22-0 (.957) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .745.
The Guardians are 126-2 (.984) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Guardians are 42-3 (.933) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .879.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .265 (1,909 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 26% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .212 (2,065 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .297 in hitter’s counts since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Guardians hitters have struck out in 31% of their PA’s in righty-righty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .555 (474 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Guardians are batting just .181 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents are hitting .295 against Rockies pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 26% against the Guardians pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Guardians pitchers have walked 16% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
More MLB Reading:
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