- The Guardians are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rockies / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+154) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-190) on Wednesday, July 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Rockies are 28-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 56-50 ATS.
Rockies vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 2-10, 5.24 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Kolby Allard 2-1, 2.86 ERA
Rockies vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -145 | O 8 -118 | +154 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -102 | -190 |
Rockies vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 64.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Warming Bernabel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+16.00 Units / 400% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jordan Beck has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+6.80 Units / 12% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Fry has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+10.70 Units / 134% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- David Fry has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+6.90 Units / 34% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 107 games (+17.02 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 54 away games (+16.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 107 games (+10.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 48 games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 48 games (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 70 games (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 59 of their last 104 games (+8.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+6.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 44-63 against the Run Line (-16.65 Units / -14.03% ROI).
- 28-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.55 Units / -28.27% ROI
- 44-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.5 Units / -17.42% ROI
- 59-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.85 Units / 9.21% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 56-50 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -0.69% ROI).
- 53-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -1.83% ROI
- 48-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -9.65% ROI
- 55-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 2.06% ROI
Guardians vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Guardians vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tyler Freeman (COL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Thairo Estrada (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Guardians vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Angel Martínez (CLE) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kolby Allard (CLE) | 2.5 -120 | 2.5 -105 |
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has allowed an OPS of 1.514 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .668 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has thrown his fastball in the zone 69% (411/600) of the time this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 58% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .374 (61-for-163) against Kyle Freeland’s fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .548 (17-for-31) against Kyle Freeland in close and late situations since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 171 total IP; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .295 (23-for-78) against Kolby Allard with two-strikes this season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .150 — first Percentile.
Kolby Allard has a strikeout rate of just 28% (23 SO in 82 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 46% — second Percentile.
Kolby Allard has allowed a slugging percentage of .410 (32 Total Bases / 78 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .229 — fourth Percentile.
Kolby Allard has struck out just 10% (12/121) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rockies are just 19-59 (.244) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Rockies are just 74-11 (.860) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Rockies are just 28-79 (.262) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Guardians are just 6-106 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are 121-5 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Guardians are 114-5 (.958) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .866.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .268 (1,988 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 26% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rockies hitters have struck out in 27% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .183 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .591 (1,480 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Guardians hitters have struck out in 30% of their PA’s in righty-righty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Guardians are batting just .298 in hitter’s counts since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.57 (2360.2 IP) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 26% against the Guardians pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Rockies vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
