- The Mariners are -300 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Noah Davis
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Colorado Rockies (+230) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-300) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).
The Rockies vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 5-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 8-7 ATS.
Rockies vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +2.5 -120 | O 8 -105 | +230 |
| Mariners | -2.5 +100 | U 8 -115 | -300 |
Rockies vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 89% ROI)
- Yonathan Daza has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.30 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 games (+8.55 Units / 86% ROI)
- Kolten Wong has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.50 Units / 77% ROI)
Mariners vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Mariners vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Mariners vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -135 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.55 Units / 17% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in their last 4 games at home (+4.35 Units / 100% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.30 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 59% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 3-12 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -59.33% ROI).
- 5-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -23.88% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.87% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -8.49% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 8-7 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 4.95% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -15.5% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 9.04% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -16.97% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .148 (9-for-61) against Luis Castillo this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 — 94th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OPS of just .397 (65 PA’s) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .725 — 97th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .200 (65 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .081 (3-for-37) against Luis Castillo with two-strikes this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .173 — 92nd Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rockies are just 44-27 (.620) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Rockies are just 29-60 (.326) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Rockies are just 36-34 (.514) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rockies are just 23-24 (.489) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mariners are 34-12 (.739) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 101-94 (.518) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Mariners are 7-71 (.090) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Mariners are 44-7 (.863) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .284 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .633 (6,249 PA’s) on the road since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.27 (803.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.86.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have 32 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for most in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hand, D10
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Forearm, D15
- Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Bard (Rockies): Anxiety, D15
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