- The Marlins are -275 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Tyson Blach
- Marlins starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Colorado Rockies (+220) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-275) on Sunday, July 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Rockies vs Marlins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 39-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 47-53 ATS.
Rockies vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +110 | O 7.5 -110 | +220 |
| Marlins | -1.5 -135 | U 7.5 -110 | -275 |
Rockies vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 85.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+9.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games (+9.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+9.30 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.60 Units / 54% ROI)
Marlins vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
Marlins vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Marlins vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Marlins vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Luzardo | 6.5 -200 | 6.5 +155 |
| Jesus Luzardo | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -125 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 86 games (+17.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+6.65 Units / 95% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 86 games (+6.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.95 Units / 28% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+8.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+7.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+6.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games at home (+3.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 46-52 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -8.52% ROI).
- 39-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -5.03% ROI
- 40-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.8 Units / -21.85% ROI
- 58-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.05 Units / 14.09% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 47-53 against the Run Line (-15.4 Units / -11.66% ROI).
- 53-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 2.7% ROI
- 46-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -7.93% ROI
- 50-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.68% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ty Blach had a strikeout rate of just 15% (29/193) in 2022 — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Ty Blach had a strike rate of 69% (464/674) in 2022 — 15th highest among among 209 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 93rd Percentile.
Ty Blach had an ERA of 5.89 (41.1 IP)in 2022 — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.48 — second Percentile.
55% of Ty Blach’s called strikeouts were inside in 2022 — 11th highest among among 210 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 95th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jesus Luzardo has induced opposing hitters to ground into 13 double plays in 53 opportunities (24%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed three-ball counts to 22% of batters they faced (156/698 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 0 Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .413 (59 Total Bases / 143 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 12th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 9% (19/213) against Jesus Luzardo this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — third Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rockies are just 51-44 (.537) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rockies are just 11-7 (.611) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .788.
The Rockies are just 25-60 (.294) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Rockies are just 43-87 (.331) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Marlins are 5-39 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Marlins are 32-4 (.889) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Marlins are just 84-22 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.
The Marlins are just 12-10 (.545) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies are batting .278 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies are batting .277 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have won just 50% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have 54 extra-base hits out of 219 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Andrew Nardi (Marlins): Triceps, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Oblique, D10
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D60
- Jonathan Davis (Marlins): Knee, D60
- Garrett Cooper (Marlins): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, Day-to-Day
- Kyle Freeland (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): Oblique, D15
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