Rockies vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 22, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Marlins (30-36) are -200 favorites vs the Rockies (30-38)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Chad Kuhl (4-4), 3.69 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Pablo López (4-3), 2.85 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSFL

The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-200) on Wednesday, June 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Marlins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Rockies vs Marlins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 30-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 35-31 ATS.

Rockies vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -130O 7.5 -120+165
Marlins -1.5 +105U 7.5 +100-200

Rockies vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Yonathan Daza has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Yonathan Daza has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.55 Units / 66% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.65 Units / 51% ROI)

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games at home (+8.65 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Avisail Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.25 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Miguel Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.10 Units / 36% ROI)

Marlins vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Avisail Garcia 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Jacob Stallings 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Jesus Aguilar 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Marlins vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Avisail Garcia 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Garrett Cooper 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Jacob Stallings 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jesus Aguilar 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Marlins vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Avisail Garcia 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Jacob Stallings 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Jesus Aguilar 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Marlins vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chad Kuhl 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
Pablo Lopez 6.5 +115 6.5 -165
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 57 games (+8.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 53 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+4.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+2.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+10.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 19% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 35-33 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -4.79% ROI).

  • 30-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -3.26% ROI
  • 34-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.27% ROI
  • 31-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.7 Units / -8.92% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 35-31 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 1.46% ROI).

  • 30-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -10.66% ROI
  • 34-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.27% ROI
  • 31-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -8.16% ROI

Chad Kuhl has allowed a slugging percentage of .756 (31 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .366 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .464 (13-for-28) against Chad Kuhl on low fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .274 — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (61/199) against Chad Kuhl this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .323 (52-for-161) against Chad Kuhl this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.

Pablo López: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (105/292) against Pablo Lopez this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (152/234) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has thrown his changeup 35% of the time (291/833) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .165 (19-for-115) against Pablo Lopez’s non-fastballs this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .214 — 86th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Rockies are 5-28 (.152) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .097.

The Rockies are just 5-29 (.147) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

The Rockies are 23-1 (.958) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .927.

The Rockies are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .903.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Marlins are just 14-22 (.389) on the road this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Marlins are just 22-4 (.846) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.

The Marlins are just 9-32 (.220) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Marlins are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .073.

The Rockies are batting .290 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .306 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.5 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 400.0.

Marlins hitters have 625 strikeouts in 2,241 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters have 159 strikeouts in 545 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .315 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .351 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 455.2

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 407.7 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 400.0

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Marlins pitchers have picked-off 8 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.

The Marlins have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Marlins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Marlins vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
  • Jesús Luzardo (Marlins): Forearm, D60
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Brian Anderson (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Cole Sulser (Marlins): Lat, D15
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D15
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Back, D15
  • Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Elbow, D15
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.