- The Marlins (30-36) are -200 favorites vs the Rockies (30-38)
- Rockies starting pitcher: Chad Kuhl (4-4), 3.69 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Pablo López (4-3), 2.85 ERA
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-200) on Wednesday, June 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Marlins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Rockies vs Marlins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rockies are 30-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 35-31 ATS.
Rockies vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -130 | O 7.5 -120 | +165 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +105 | U 7.5 +100 | -200 |
Rockies vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yonathan Daza has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Yonathan Daza has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.55 Units / 66% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.65 Units / 51% ROI)
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games at home (+8.65 Units / 85% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Avisail Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.25 Units / 78% ROI)
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.10 Units / 36% ROI)
Marlins vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Avisail Garcia | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jacob Stallings | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Marlins vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Avisail Garcia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jacob Stallings | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Marlins vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Avisail Garcia | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jacob Stallings | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Marlins vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Kuhl | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
| Pablo Lopez | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 57 games (+8.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 53 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+4.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+2.40 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+10.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 19% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 35-33 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -4.79% ROI).
- 30-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -3.26% ROI
- 34-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.27% ROI
- 31-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.7 Units / -8.92% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 35-31 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 1.46% ROI).
- 30-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -10.66% ROI
- 34-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.27% ROI
- 31-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -8.16% ROI
Chad Kuhl: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chad Kuhl has allowed a slugging percentage of .756 (31 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .366 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .464 (13-for-28) against Chad Kuhl on low fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .274 — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (61/199) against Chad Kuhl this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .323 (52-for-161) against Chad Kuhl this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.
Pablo López: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (105/292) against Pablo Lopez this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (152/234) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has thrown his changeup 35% of the time (291/833) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .165 (19-for-115) against Pablo Lopez’s non-fastballs this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .214 — 86th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rockies are 5-28 (.152) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Rockies are just 5-29 (.147) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Rockies are 23-1 (.958) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .927.
The Rockies are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Marlins are just 14-22 (.389) on the road this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Marlins are just 22-4 (.846) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Marlins are just 9-32 (.220) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Marlins are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .073.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .290 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .306 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.5 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 400.0.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 625 strikeouts in 2,241 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have 159 strikeouts in 545 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .315 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .351 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 455.2
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 407.7 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 400.0
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have picked-off 8 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
The Marlins have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Marlins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Marlins vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jesús Luzardo (Marlins): Forearm, D60
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Brian Anderson (Marlins): Back, D10
- Cole Sulser (Marlins): Lat, D15
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Back, D15
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
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