- The – (42-25) are favorites vs the – (42-25)
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland (3-5), 4.45 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett (1-2), 4.84 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Colorado Rockies () visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins () on Thursday, June 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Miami.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Rockies vs Marlins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rockies are 30-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 36-31 ATS.
Rockies vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | O | ||
| Marlins | U |
Rockies vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yonathan Daza has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Yonathan Daza has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games at home (+10.05 Units / 90% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Marlins vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Avisail Garcia | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Marlins vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Avisail Garcia | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Marlins vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Avisail Garcia | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
Marlins vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -120 |
| Braxton Garrett | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 54 games (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+3.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+11.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+8.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 24% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 35-34 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -6.26% ROI).
- 30-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 35-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 1.06% ROI
- 31-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -10.3% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 36-31 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 2.71% ROI).
- 31-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -9.16% ROI
- 35-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 1.61% ROI
- 31-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -9.6% ROI
Kyle Freeland: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 55% (108/198) of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
10 of Kyle Freeland’s 40 breaking pitch strikeouts (25%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 9% (4 SO in 45 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
10 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 97th Percentile.
Braxton Garrett: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Braxton Garrett has limited playing time.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rockies are just 11-20 (.355) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Rockies are 5-29 (.147) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Rockies are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Rockies are 16-5 (.762) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Marlins are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The Marlins are just 23-4 (.852) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Marlins are just 9-32 (.220) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Marlins are just 7-19 (.269) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .305 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .641 (4,126 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 628 strikeouts in 2,254 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have 162 strikeouts in 558 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .646 (2,254 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .225 (4,742 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 455.4
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Marlins pitchers have picked-off 8 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
The Marlins have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Marlins vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jesús Luzardo (Marlins): Forearm, D60
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Brian Anderson (Marlins): Back, D10
- Cole Sulser (Marlins): Lat, D15
- Louis Head (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Back, D15
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
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