Rockies vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 28

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  • The Marlins are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
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The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-200) on March 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Rockies are 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 0-1 ATS.

Rockies vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Perez 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Rockies vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -135O 7.5 -120+165
Marlins -1.5 +115U 7.5 +100-200

Rockies vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+9.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
  • Michael Lorenzen has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+6.90 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Griffin Conine has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+9.65 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Liam Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+9.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+9.35 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Eury Perez has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 53 of their last 80 away games (+22.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 81 away games (+18.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 81 away games (+12.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 98 games (+23.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 56 of their last 87 games (+20.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 143 games (+15.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games at home (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+7.70 Units / 13% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 74.07% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 52.63% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Marlins vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Hunter Goodman (COL) +425
Agustin Ramirez (MIA) +525
Griffin Conine (MIA) +550
Owen Caissie (MIA) +550
TJ Rumfield (COL) +575

Marlins vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Agustin Ramirez (MIA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Connor Norby (MIA) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Liam Hicks (MIA) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Jake McCarthy (COL) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135

Marlins vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Agustin Ramirez (MIA) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Otto Lopez (MIA) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235
Jakob Marsee (MIA) 0.5 +180 0.5 -235
Griffin Conine (MIA) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Marlins vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eury Perez (MIA) 6.5 +110 6.5 -145
Michael Lorenzen (COL) 4.5 +125 4.5 -160

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Rockies were just 43-119 (.265) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies were just 29-89 (.246) after a loss in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Rockies were just 40-96 (.294) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Rockies were just 18-63 (.222) on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .457.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Marlins were just 38-43 (.469) at home in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .542.

The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Marlins are just 69-94 (.423) at home since the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

Rockies hitters had an OPS of just .589 (2,886 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Rockies scored first in just 30% of their games in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Rockies batted just .203 on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters had an OBP of just .259 (2,886 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters slugged just .504 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters struck out in just 21% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters had 128 extra-base hits out of 479 total hits (just 27%) with two-strikes in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Marlins batted .160 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 17% in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.00 (1407.1 IP) in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.

Marlins pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,161 times in the 2025 season — 3rd most in MLB.

The Marlins won just 26% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.