- The Mets (79-46) are -450 favorites vs the Rockies (54-71)
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner (2-4), 5.87 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom (2-1), 2.31 ERA
- Watch the game on SNY
The Colorado Rockies (+333) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-450) on Thursday, August 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Rockies vs Mets Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rockies are 53-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 67-55 ATS.
Rockies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +2.5 -115 | O 7 +100 | +333 |
| Mets | -2.5 -105 | U 7 -120 | -450 |
Rockies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s matchup with 68.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Elehuris Montero has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+8.85 Units / 13% ROI)
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 43 games (+20.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+13.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 27 games at home (+12.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+12.20 Units / 35% ROI)
Mets vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Mets vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Mets vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | 9.5 -110 | 9.5 -125 |
| Ryan Feltner | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.10 Units / 20% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 53 games at home (+25.92 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 53 games at home (+15.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+13.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+9.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 65-57 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 0.63% ROI).
- 53-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -2.78% ROI
- 59-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -2.48% ROI
- 56-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -6.92% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 67-55 against the Run Line (+13.9 Units / 9.34% ROI).
- 78-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.7 Units / 10.65% ROI
- 62-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 2.48% ROI
- 53-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.7 Units / -11.01% ROI
Ryan Feltner: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Feltner has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to August 2nd — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 10.
Ryan Feltner has allowed a slugging percentage of .743 (26 Total Bases / 35 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (4 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .402 — second Percentile.
Opponents batted just .100 (2-for-20) against Ryan Feltner — tied for 10th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .225 — 93rd Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (34/61) of opposing batters this month (4 games) — tied for 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 65% — ninth Percentile.
Jacob deGrom: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 46% (37 SO in 81 PAs) this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has struck out 48% (20/42) of right-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (615/1,483) against Jacob deGrom since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 171 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has allowed an OBP of just .192 (673 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 171 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 12-31 (.279) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 18-51 (.261) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Rockies are 43-3 (.935) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .916.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets are 66-20 (.767) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Mets are just 7-9 (.438) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are 40-19 (.678) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Mets are 38-5 (.884) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .286 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Rockies are batting .274 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .312 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters are slugging .806 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Mets have scored first in 71% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mets hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .327 (2,579 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 113 double plays in 895 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 407.4 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.46 (192.1 IP) this month (22 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Eduardo Escobar (Mets): Oblique, D10
- Luis Guillorme (Mets): Groin, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Side, D15
- Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
- Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Oblique, D15
- Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Colomé (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, D10
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
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