Rockies vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 25

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 25, 2022, 6:19 PM
  • The Mets (79-46) are -450 favorites vs the Rockies (54-71)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner (2-4), 5.87 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom (2-1), 2.31 ERA
  • Watch the game on SNY

The Colorado Rockies (+333) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-450) on Thursday, August 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Rockies vs Mets Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 53-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 67-55 ATS.

Rockies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+2.5 -115O 7 +100+333
Mets -2.5 -105U 7 -120-450

Rockies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s matchup with 68.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Rockies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Elehuris Montero has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+8.85 Units / 13% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 43 games (+20.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+13.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 27 games at home (+12.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+12.20 Units / 35% ROI)

Mets vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Brett Baty 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Jeff McNeil 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Mets vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Brett Baty 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Jeff McNeil 0.5 -275 0.5 +185

Mets vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Brett Baty 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Jeff McNeil 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

Mets vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jacob deGrom 9.5 -110 9.5 -125
Ryan Feltner 3.5 -135 3.5 -105
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 53 games at home (+25.92 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 53 games at home (+15.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+13.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+9.70 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.60 Units / 31% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 65-57 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 0.63% ROI).

  • 53-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -2.78% ROI
  • 59-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -2.48% ROI
  • 56-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -6.92% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 67-55 against the Run Line (+13.9 Units / 9.34% ROI).

  • 78-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.7 Units / 10.65% ROI
  • 62-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 2.48% ROI
  • 53-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.7 Units / -11.01% ROI

Ryan Feltner has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to August 2nd — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 10.

Ryan Feltner has allowed a slugging percentage of .743 (26 Total Bases / 35 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (4 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .402 — second Percentile.

Opponents batted just .100 (2-for-20) against Ryan Feltner — tied for 10th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .225 — 93rd Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (34/61) of opposing batters this month (4 games) — tied for 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 65% — ninth Percentile.

Jacob deGrom: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 46% (37 SO in 81 PAs) this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has struck out 48% (20/42) of right-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (615/1,483) against Jacob deGrom since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 171 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has allowed an OBP of just .192 (673 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 171 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Rockies are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 12-31 (.279) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 18-51 (.261) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Rockies are 43-3 (.935) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Mets are 66-20 (.767) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Mets are just 7-9 (.438) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are 40-19 (.678) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Mets are 38-5 (.884) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Rockies are batting .286 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Rockies are batting .274 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .312 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rockies are batting .283 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Mets hitters are slugging .806 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Mets have scored first in 71% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Mets hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .327 (2,579 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .307.

Rockies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 113 double plays in 895 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 407.4 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.46 (192.1 IP) this month (22 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Mets vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Eduardo Escobar (Mets): Oblique, D10
  • Luis Guillorme (Mets): Groin, D10
  • Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Side, D15
  • Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
  • Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Oblique, D15
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Colomé (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, D10
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.