Rockies vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 28, 2022, 9:52 AM
  • The Mets (82-46) are -350 favorites vs the Rockies (54-74)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Germán Márquez (6-10), 5.22 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer (9-3), 2.33 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Colorado Rockies (+275) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-350) on Sunday, August 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Rockies vs Mets Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 53-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 69-56 ATS.

Rockies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+2.5 -115O 7.5 -120+275
Mets -2.5 -105U 7.5 +100-350

Rockies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s matchup with 61.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Rockies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Wynton Bernard has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 away games (+7.95 Units / 18% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 29 games (+17.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 46 games (+13.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 30 games at home (+12.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 42 games at home (+12.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+11.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 128 games (+15.62 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+6.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+6.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 66-59 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 0.2% ROI).

  • 53-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -4.95% ROI
  • 60-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -3.22% ROI
  • 58-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -6.09% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 69-56 against the Run Line (+14.35 Units / 9.35% ROI).

  • 81-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.7 Units / 11.61% ROI
  • 63-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 1.63% ROI
  • 55-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.8 Units / -10.08% ROI

German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .698 (67 Total Bases / 96 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .410 — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .438 (42-for-96) against German Marquez on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .261 — second Percentile.

German Marquez has a strikeout rate of just 10% (9 SO in 88 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.

German Marquez has allowed an OPS of .821 (606 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .667 — first Percentile.

Maxwell Scherzer: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Max Scherzer has walked 16 of 590 right-handed batters (3%) since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .222 (589 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .169 (45-for-266) against Max Scherzer when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 100th Percentile.

Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .177 (683 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: .235 — 97th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Rockies are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 12-31 (.279) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 18-42 (.300) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Rockies are 37-3 (.925) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Mets are 43-19 (.694) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Mets are 39-27 (.591) on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Mets are 68-20 (.773) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Mets are 37-8 (.822) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .665.

The Rockies are batting .311 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rockies have won just 40% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies are batting .286 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Rockies hitters have just 308 strikeouts in 1,611 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Mets have scored first in 73% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Mets hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Mets hitters are slugging .929 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .511.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .346 (1,127 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.6

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets pitchers have walked 821 of 10,505 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have walked 158 of 2,525 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Guillorme (Mets): Groin, D10
  • Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Side, D15
  • Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
  • Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Oblique, D15
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Colomé (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, D10
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.