- The Mets are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill
- Watch the game on SNY
The Colorado Rockies (+180) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-225) on Saturday, May 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Rockies vs Mets Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 12-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 15-18 ATS.
Rockies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -110 | O 8.5 +100 | +180 |
| Mets | -1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -120 | -225 |
Rockies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+7.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.10 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
Mets vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Mets vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Mets vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +105 |
| Tylor Megill | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+5.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.30 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 14-19 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -17.92% ROI).
- 12-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -15.35% ROI
- 14-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -19.59% ROI
- 19-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 11.06% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 15-18 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -8.48% ROI).
- 17-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -11.96% ROI
- 14-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -16.3% ROI
- 18-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 7.2% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .820 (41 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on low fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .429 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .133 (2-for-15) against Austin Gomber on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .359 — 98th Percentile.
Austin Gomber has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (63/126) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of 1.021 (154 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .721 — second Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tylor Megill has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 46% (45/97) of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 54% (61/114) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (159/664) against Tylor Megill since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.
Tylor Megill threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 46% (36/78) of opposing batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Rockies are just 32-66 (.327) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Rockies are just 15-31 (.326) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .108.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets are 105-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Mets are just 13-36 (.265) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
The Mets are just 9-14 (.391) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are 6-69 (.080) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .284 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have won just 42% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .346 (3,712 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.3 feet since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .336 (5,058 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Mets hitters have just 997 strikeouts in 5,058 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets are batting .260 on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Mets are batting .182 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .155 against Mets pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Left Ankle, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Brooks Raley (Mets): Elbow, D15
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back Spasms, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Elbow, D15
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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