- The Nationals are -150 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Jacob Bird
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
- Watch the game on MASN
The Colorado Rockies (+125) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-150) on Monday, July 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Nationals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rockies vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 39-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 55-44 ATS.
Rockies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -155 | O 9.5 -105 | +125 |
| Nationals | -1.5 +125 | U 9.5 -115 | -150 |
Rockies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 61.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+9.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games (+9.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 40 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+14.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.65 Units / 40% ROI)
Nationals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Nationals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Nationals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 87 games (+18.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 87 games (+7.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+6.45 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.55 Units / 58% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 81 games (+11.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 93 games (+8.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 62% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 47-52 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -7.53% ROI).
- 39-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -5.96% ROI
- 40-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.9 Units / -22.64% ROI
- 59-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.05 Units / 14.87% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 55-44 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 3.47% ROI).
- 41-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 6.67% ROI
- 48-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -2.64% ROI
- 46-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -5.51% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 12 of Jake Bird’s 135 elevated fastballs out of the zone (9%) since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 8% (14/170) against Jake Bird when he’s behind in the count since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Jake Bird has allowed a slugging percentage of .356 (67 Total Bases / 188 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (153/778) against Jake Bird since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .407 (33-for-81) against Patrick Corbin on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .312 (122-for-391) against Patrick Corbin this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has a strike rate of just 58% (294/503) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OBP of .354 (424 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rockies are just 11-7 (.611) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .788.
The Rockies are just 34-18 (.654) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 23-69 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .357.
The Rockies are just 71-33 (.683) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Nationals are just 28-49 (.364) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Nationals are just 4-6 (.400) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Nationals are just 29-58 (.333) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Nationals are just 8-18 (.308) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .559.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies have won just 50% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.5 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 36% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters have drawn 150 walks in 2,474 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .780 (1,248 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 90 of 865 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Paolo Espino (Nationals): Finger, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, Day-to-Day
- Kyle Freeland (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): Oblique, D15
Bet now on Rockies vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
