- The Nationals are -130 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams
- Watch the game on MASN
The Colorado Rockies (+110) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-130) on Tuesday, July 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Nationals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Rockies vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 40-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 55-45 ATS.
Rockies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -175 | O 9.5 -120 | +110 |
| Nationals | -1.5 +145 | U 9.5 +100 | -130 |
Rockies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 62.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.35 Units / 74% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games (+9.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 41 games (+13.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+13.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+12.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.00 Units / 30% ROI)
Nationals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Michael Toglia | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Nationals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Michael Toglia | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Nationals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Michael Toglia | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Nationals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Austin Gomber | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 88 games (+17.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+7.55 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.55 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 88 games (+6.00 Units / 6% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 82 games (+10.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 94 games (+7.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+6.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+4.80 Units / 28% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 48-52 against the Run Line (-7.65 Units / -6.58% ROI).
- 40-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 41-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.9 Units / -21.52% ROI
- 59-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.9 Units / 13.66% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 55-45 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 2.63% ROI).
- 41-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 5% ROI
- 49-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.71% ROI
- 46-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -6.51% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .688 (55 Total Bases / 80 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .338 (27-for-80) against Austin Gomber’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — fourth Percentile.
Austin Gomber has an ERA of 6.18 (102.0 IP)this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.98 — second Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of 1.082 (94 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .711 — third Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams has a strikeout rate of just 14% (21 SO in 147 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.
Trevor Williams has allowed a slugging percentage of .495 (92 Total Bases / 186 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams has allowed a slugging percentage of .413 (83 Total Bases / 201 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .266 — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams has a strikeout rate of just 34% (74 SO in 221 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rockies are just 34-18 (.654) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rockies are just 52-44 (.542) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rockies are just 11-7 (.611) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .788.
The Rockies are just 2-135 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Nationals are just 4-7 (.364) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
The Nationals are just 44-88 (.333) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Nationals are just 29-58 (.333) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Nationals are just 33-62 (.347) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .293 (1,068 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
The Rockies have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies are batting .278 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 471 strikeouts in 2,508 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have just 707 strikeouts in 3,759 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 33% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.60 (1184.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (444.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Nationals have won just 19% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Paolo Espino (Nationals): Finger, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Ryan McMahon (Rockies): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, Day-to-Day
- Kyle Freeland (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): Oblique, D15
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