Rockies vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 26

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Washington Nationals' Luis Garcia hits an RBI single against the Seattle Mariners to score CJ Abrams during the third inning of a baseball game Monday, June 26, 2023, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 27, 2023, 11:08 AM
  • The are favorites vs the
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Peter Lambert
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Jacob Irvin
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Colorado Rockies () visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals () on Wednesday, July 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Washington.

The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Rockies vs Nationals Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 40-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 55-46 ATS.

Rockies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

  Spread Over / Under Moneyline
Rockies   O  
Nationals   U  

Rockies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 62.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

     

    • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 46 games (+10.55 Units / 19% ROI)
    • Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.35 Units / 74% ROI)
    • Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.75 Units / 53% ROI)
    • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 17% ROI)
    • Randal Grichuk has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+8.95 Units / 74% ROI)

     

      And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

         

        • Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 42 games (+14.95 Units / 22% ROI)
        • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+14.20 Units / 25% ROI)
        • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.65 Units / 43% ROI)
        • Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
        • Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.00 Units / 30% ROI)

         

          Nationals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Randal Grichuk 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
          Brenton Doyle 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
          Michael Toglia 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
          Joey Meneses 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
          Alex Call 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

          Nationals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Randal Grichuk 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
          Brenton Doyle 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
          Michael Toglia 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
          Joey Meneses 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
          Alex Call 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

          Nationals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Randal Grichuk 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
          Brenton Doyle 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
          Michael Toglia 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
          Joey Meneses 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
          Alex Call 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

          Nationals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Jake Irvin 5.5 -150 5.5 +115

             

            • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 89 games (+15.95 Units / 16% ROI)
            • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+8.70 Units / 87% ROI)
            • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.55 Units / 59% ROI)
            • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 61% ROI)
            • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)

             

                 

                • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 83 games (+11.00 Units / 13% ROI)
                • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
                • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 95 games (+6.35 Units / 5% ROI)
                • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+5.80 Units / 31% ROI)

                 

                  Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

                  Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 49-52 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -5.64% ROI).

                  • 40-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -5.46% ROI
                  • 42-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.85 Units / -20.39% ROI
                  • 59-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.65 Units / 12.37% ROI

                  Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

                  Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 55-46 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 1.81% ROI).

                  • 42-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 5.9% ROI
                  • 50-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -0.76% ROI
                  • 46-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -7.57% ROI

                  Peter Lambert has allowed a slugging percentage of .584 (90 Total Bases / 154 ABs) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .367 — first Percentile.

                  Peter Lambert has allowed a slugging percentage of .584 (90 Total Bases / 154 ABs) this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .368 — 0 Percentile.

                  Left-handed batters are hitting .354 (23-for-65) against Peter Lambert this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .225 — second Percentile.

                  Peter Lambert has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.097 (34 Total Bases / 31 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .377 — first Percentile.

                  Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

                  Jake Irvin has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to June 27th — the longest active streak is 6.

                  Opponents have a chase percentage of just 23% (132/585) against Jake Irvin this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 29% — third Percentile.

                  Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (80/525) against Jake Irvin this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

                  Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 22% (8/37) against Jake Irvin on elevated fastballs this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 97th Percentile.

                  Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

                  The Rockies are just 34-18 (.654) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

                  The Rockies are just 26-10 (.722) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .853.

                  The Rockies are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

                  The Rockies are just 17-35 (.327) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

                  Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

                  The Nationals are just 4-7 (.364) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.

                  The Nationals are just 1-152 (.007) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

                  The Nationals are just 29-39 (.426) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.

                  The Nationals are just 18-34 (.346) after a road win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.

                  The Rockies have won just 50% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

                  The Rockies are batting .277 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

                  The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

                  Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .294 (1,075 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.

                  Nationals hitters have drawn 154 walks in 2,518 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

                  Nationals hitters have just 240 strikeouts in 1,276 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

                  The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 36% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

                  The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

                  Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

                  Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

                  Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

                  Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (444.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

                  Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

                  Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

                  Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

                  Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

                  Nationals vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

                     

                    • Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
                    • Paolo Espino (Nationals): Finger, D15
                    • Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
                    • Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D60
                    • Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Elbow, D15
                    • Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
                    • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
                    • Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D60
                    • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
                    • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60

                     

                         

                        • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
                        • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, D10
                        • Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
                        • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
                        • Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
                        • Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
                        • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
                        • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
                        • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
                        • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
                        • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
                        • Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, Day-to-Day
                        • Kyle Freeland (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
                        • Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): Oblique, D15

                         


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                          Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

                          Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.