Rockies vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 25

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(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 25, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Orioles are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-200) on Friday, August 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Rockies vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 47-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 79-48 ATS.

Rockies vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -115O 8.5 +100+165
Orioles -1.5 -105U 8.5 -120-200

Rockies vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 76.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Jones has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Austin Gomber has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.40 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 away games (+8.10 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 away games (+7.95 Units / 117% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+7.15 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+12.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jordan Westburg has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jordan Westburg has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+9.15 Units / 44% ROI)

Orioles vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Jordan Westburg 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000

Orioles vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 +125 1.5 -165
Brenton Doyle 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Elehuris Montero 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Elias Diaz 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Orioles vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Jordan Westburg 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +260 0.5 -375
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +260 0.5 -375

Orioles vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cole Irvin 4.5 -115 4.5 -110
Kyle Freeland 3.5 -135 3.5 +100
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 games (+10.31 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 115 games (+7.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 37 games (+6.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 72 of their last 114 games (+28.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 56 games at home (+9.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games at home (+8.79 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.43 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+5.93 Units / 11% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 60-65 against the Run Line (-7.4 Units / -5.13% ROI).

  • 47-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.15 Units / -11.12% ROI
  • 55-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.75 Units / -15.1% ROI
  • 69-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.55 Units / 7.05% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 79-48 against the Run Line (+27.1 Units / 16.28% ROI).

  • 79-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +30.35 Units / 19.34% ROI
  • 63-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.3 Units / 3.86% ROI
  • 53-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.7 Units / -11.92% ROI

Right-handed batters are hitting .310 (122-for-393) against Kyle Freeland this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .539 (212 Total Bases / 393 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .397 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .296 (153-for-517) against Kyle Freeland this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — third Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has allowed an OBP of .357 (428 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — third Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cole Irvin has a strike rate of 70% (460/654) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (63/348) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .285 (39-for-137) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 92nd Percentile.

Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .287 (45 Total Bases / 157 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .427 — 98th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rockies are just 32-16 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.

The Rockies are just 36-10 (.783) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Rockies are just 12-10 (.545) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.

The Rockies are just 0-71 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Orioles are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Orioles are 53-40 (.570) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

The Orioles are 24-38 (.387) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.

The Orioles are 31-17 (.646) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.5 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.

The Rockies are batting .278 at home since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (5,449 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

team hitters – home

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.09 (553.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .172 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 174 of 2,580 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jack Flaherty (Orioles): General soreness, Day-to-Day
  • Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
  • Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Back, D10
  • Robert Anderson (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, D10
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
  • Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.