- The Orioles are -300 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
- Watch the game on MASN
The Colorado Rockies (+240) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-300) on Saturday, August 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Rockies vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 47-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 79-49 ATS.
Rockies vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +2.5 -130 | O 9 -120 | +240 |
| Orioles | -2.5 +105 | U 9 +100 | -300 |
Rockies vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 86.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Gomber has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.40 Units / 62% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 9 away games (+9.10 Units / 74% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 away games (+8.95 Units / 96% ROI)
- Nolan Jones has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 away games (+8.30 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+11.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
Orioles vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Orioles vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +130 | 1.5 -165 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
Orioles vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -120 |
| Flexen | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 games (+12.06 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 38 games (+8.04 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 away games (+7.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 63% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 72 of their last 115 games (+26.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games at home (+10.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.04 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games at home (+6.74 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+5.20 Units / 10% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 61-65 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -4.4% ROI).
- 47-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.15 Units / -11.81% ROI
- 55-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.75 Units / -14.98% ROI
- 69-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.55 Units / 6.99% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 79-49 against the Run Line (+25.9 Units / 15.45% ROI).
- 80-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +31.35 Units / 19.69% ROI
- 63-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.3 Units / 3.83% ROI
- 53-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.7 Units / -11.82% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .768 (43 Total Bases / 56 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .406 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .411 (23-for-56) against Chris Flexen’s elevated fastball this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .330 (93-for-282) against Chris Flexen this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed at least one HR in each of his last eight games dating back to June 11st — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .154 (24 Total Bases / 156 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed an OPS of just .634 (516 PA’s) this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .708 — 86th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (60/208) against Kyle Bradish this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .225 (106-for-472) against Kyle Bradish this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 84th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rockies are just 32-17 (.653) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.
The Rockies are just 36-11 (.766) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Rockies are just 12-10 (.545) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Rockies are just 35-21 (.625) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Orioles are 31-17 (.646) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Orioles are 53-40 (.570) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Orioles are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Orioles are 134-38 (.779) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .290 (1,393 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.5 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies have won just 49% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .278 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting .252 with two outs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Orioles are 17-5 (.773) against the run line (45.3% ROI) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 63% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Orioles are 79-45 (.627) against the run line (17.7% ROI) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.09 (553.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .170 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles have won 43% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Orioles vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jack Flaherty (Orioles): General soreness, Day-to-Day
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Félix Bautista (Orioles): Arm, Day-to-Day
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
- Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Back, D10
- Robert Anderson (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D15
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