- The Orioles are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Tyson Blach
- Orioles starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty
- Watch the game on MASN
The Colorado Rockies (+195) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-250) on Sunday, August 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Rockies vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 47-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 79-50 ATS.
Rockies vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | O 9 -105 | +195 |
| Orioles | -1.5 -125 | U 9 -115 | -250 |
Rockies vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 82.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 away games (+10.80 Units / 104% ROI)
- Austin Gomber has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.40 Units / 62% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 9 away games (+9.10 Units / 74% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+7.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 37 games (+10.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kyle Bradish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)
Orioles vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Michael Toglia | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Orioles vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +115 | 1.5 -150 |
| Jordan Westburg | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Michael Toglia | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Orioles vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Michael Toglia | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Orioles vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Flaherty | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
| Ty Blach | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +110 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 38 games (+14.56 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 39 games (+9.64 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 68% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 72 of their last 116 games (+25.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 58 games at home (+11.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+5.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.24 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 62-65 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -3.49% ROI).
- 47-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.15 Units / -12.49% ROI
- 56-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.75 Units / -14.14% ROI
- 69-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 6.17% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 79-50 against the Run Line (+24.4 Units / 14.43% ROI).
- 81-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +32.35 Units / 19.94% ROI
- 64-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.3 Units / 4.51% ROI
- 53-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.75 Units / -12.47% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .342 (80-for-234) against Ty Blach since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .228 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .522 (24-for-46) against Ty Blach on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .327 — 0 Percentile.
Ty Blach has a strikeout rate of just 11% (11 SO in 103 PAs) on low non-fastballs since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 38% — 0 Percentile.
Ty Blach has a strikeout rate of just 13% (48 SO in 377 PAs) since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .463 (201 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .326 — 0 Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 45 of 262 batters (17%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 37 of 201 batters (18%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed three-ball counts to 23% of batters they faced (164/718 PA’s) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rockies are just 32-17 (.653) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Rockies are just 36-11 (.766) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Rockies are just 35-21 (.625) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rockies are just 77-41 (.653) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Orioles are 53-40 (.570) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Orioles are 79-37 (.681) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Orioles are 31-17 (.646) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Orioles are 40-24 (.625) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 49% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .290 (1,399 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .636 (5,522 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 177-111 (.610) against the run line (13.6% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 62% at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Orioles are batting .252 with two outs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 63% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.09 (553.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Rockies have allowed 6.61 runs per game (403/61) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.61.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .170 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Orioles have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 23 of 434 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Félix Bautista (Orioles): Arm, D15
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
- Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Back, D10
- Robert Anderson (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D15
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