- The Padres are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: José Ureña
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
- Watch the game on BSSD
The Colorado Rockies (+180) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-225) on Saturday, April 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 0-0 ATS.
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -110 | O 8 -105 | +180 |
| Padres | -1.5 -110 | U 8 -115 | -225 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
- Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Matthew Batten has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.75 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| David Dahl | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| David Dahl | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| David Dahl | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wacha | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 163 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 82 away games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 86 games at home (+3.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 51% (61/120) against Jose Urena on inside fastballs since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Jose Urena threw fastballs down 52% of the time (494/950) in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .327 (132-for-404) against Jose Urena since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.
Jose Urena located his fastball low 52% of the time (494/950) in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha allowed a slugging percentage of .738 (45 Total Bases / 61 ABs) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — first Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (610/1,236) with two-strikes since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 16% (35/218) against Michael Wacha on elevated fastballs in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .317 (33-for-104) against Michael Wacha over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — fourth Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies were just 41-24 (.631) when scoring 5 or more runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rockies were just 27-54 (.333) on the road in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The Rockies were just 23-11 (.676) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Rockies are just 13-28 (.317) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres were 19-19 (.500) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Padres are 131-14 (.903) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Padres are 139-11 (.927) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Padres are 65-23 (.739) when scoring in the first inning since the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .653.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters are slugging just .344 on the road since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .632 (5,954 PA’s) on the road since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 59% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters have put 39% of their swings in play against LHP since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Padres hitters had an OPS of just .672 (2,955 PA’s) at home in 2022 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Padres hitters are slugging .227 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers won only 8% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 5.30 (740.0 IP) at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.
Rockies pitchers have walked 247 of 2,831 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 42% against Padres pitchers in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
The Padres won 42% of games in which their opponents scored first in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed the 5th hardest ball in play hit (115.1 MPH) in 2022 (; League Avg: 117.3).
Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D15
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Adam Engel (Padres): Hamstring, D10
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D15
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Joseph Musgrove (Padres): Toe, D15
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Bard (Rockies): Anxiety, D15
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