Rockies vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 12

(AP Photo/Derrick Tuskan)
Welcome OfferBetting Promos
  • The Padres are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Rockies / Padres TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV

The Colorado Rockies (+185) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-225) on April 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Rockies are 6-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 9-5 ATS.

Rockies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 1-1, 2.30 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 1-2, 5.54 ERA

Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -115O 7.5 -105+185
Padres -1.5 -105U 7.5 -115-225

Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 70.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Rockies vs Padres and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.20 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Mickey Moniak has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+8.00 Units / 114% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+17.50 Units / 438% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Walks Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+8.90 Units / 127% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+8.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+6.05 Units / 11% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 10-5 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 22.47% ROI).

  • 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 5.67% ROI
  • 5-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -36.25% ROI
  • 10-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 27.66% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 9-5 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 12.47% ROI).

  • 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 17.52% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -3.95% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -4.23% ROI

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies were just 43-119 (.265) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 20-70 (.222) on the road since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .456.

The Rockies were just 40-96 (.294) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Rockies are just 90-12 (.874) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 7-1 (.875) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Padres are 9-6 (.600) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres were 63-5 (.926) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Padres are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .026.

The Rockies batted just .203 on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters had an OPS of just .589 (2,886 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .262 (3,232 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters had an OBP of just .259 (2,886 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have 21 extra-base hits out of 40 total hits (53%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Padres hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Padres batted .192 with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 17% in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.50 (732.0 IP) at home in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Padres allowed 1.04 runs per game (168/162) in late innings in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers had an ERA of 3.65 (1433.0 IP) in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Rockies vs Padres and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.