- The Padres are -210 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Padres starting pitcher: Jacob Lugo
- Watch the game on BSSD
The Colorado Rockies (+170) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-210) on Sunday, April 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 1-2 ATS.
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -115 | O 8 -110 | +170 |
| Padres | -1.5 -105 | U 8 -110 | -210 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
- Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Matthew Batten has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.75 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
| Lugo | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 165 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 84 away games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 88 games at home (+3.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 2-1 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 29.41% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 83.33% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 27.14% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -31.75% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -31.25% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -47.76% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 27.14% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -31.75% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 42% (21/50) versus Austin Gomber on elevated fastballs in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Austin Gomber allowed a slugging percentage of .534 (188 Total Bases / 352 ABs) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .406 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .397 (31-for-78) against Austin Gomber on low fastballs since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .273 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (46/279) against Austin Gomber on breaking pitches since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .165 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for ninth best among qualified RPs)– 91st Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 59% (41/69) against Seth Lugo in two-strike counts in 2022 — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (61/107) against Seth Lugo in two-strike counts since the 2021 season — 15th highest among among 146 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 90th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .165 (17-for-103) against Seth Lugo in 2022 — tied for 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 91st Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 13-28 (.317) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies were just 41-24 (.631) when scoring 5 or more runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rockies are just 53-108 (.329) on the road since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Rockies are just 15-33 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are just 7-130 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Padres were 73-25 (.745) when allowing 4 or fewer runs in 2022 — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Padres were 30-12 (.714) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Padres were 70-7 (.909) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .882.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .632 (5,954 PA’s) on the road since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Rockies won just 42% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters had an OBP of .327 (3,260 PA’s) on the road in 2022 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 59% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against RHP since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers threw at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 5.30 (740.0 IP) at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.
Rockies pitchers walked 125 of 1,431 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 42% against Padres pitchers in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
The Padres won 39% of road games in which their opponents scored first in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Padres pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D15
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Adam Engel (Padres): Hamstring, D10
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D15
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Joseph Musgrove (Padres): Toe, D15
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Bard (Rockies): Anxiety, D15
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