Rockies vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 1

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 01, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Padres (57-46) are -225 favorites vs the Rockies (46-57)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela (3-5), 4.89 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger (2-3), 3.37 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Colorado Rockies (+175) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-225) on Monday, August 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 46-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 48-55 ATS.

Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -120O 7.5 -110+175
Padres -1.5 +100U 7.5 -110-225

Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+13.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+9.15 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 66% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+13.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.20 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+12.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 32 games (+10.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.30 Units / 30% ROI)

Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Eric Hosmer 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Eric Hosmer 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Jurickson Profar 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Eric Hosmer 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Clevinger 5.5 -140 5.5 +100
Antonio Senzatela 3.5 -105 3.5 -140
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+16.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 52 games (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 92 games (+5.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 49 games (+5.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 43 of their last 78 games (+12.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 102 games (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 4% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 56-47 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 2.55% ROI).

  • 46-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -1.12% ROI
  • 48-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -5.79% ROI
  • 49-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -3.63% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 48-55 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -5.97% ROI).

  • 57-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.18% ROI
  • 47-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -9.55% ROI
  • 53-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 0.79% ROI

Opponents are hitting .359 (108-for-301) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .349 (52-for-149) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (36/108) against Antonio Senzatela on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .364 (121-for-332) against Antonio Senzatela versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 0 Percentile.

Michael Clevinger: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mike Clevinger has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.7 MPH (146 batted balls) this season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 88.7 — 95th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Mike Clevinger this season is 385.1 feet — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 398.0

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .312 (20 GB hits out of 64 GBs) against Mike Clevinger this season — tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .229 — seventh Percentile.

Mike Clevinger has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.7 MPH this season (146 balls in play) — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 88.7

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 35-12 (.745) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Rockies are just 12-28 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 5-43 (.104) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 30-24 (.556) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .476.

The Padres are just 47-6 (.887) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Padres are just 2-34 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Padres are 48-13 (.787) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Rockies are batting .285 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .641 (4,696 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .654 (1,749 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,387 of their 4,192 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .304 (1,749 PA’s) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.4 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.4

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Padres pitchers have walked 56 of 916 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .188 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

The Padres have won 50% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • MacKenzie Gore (Padres): Elbow, D15
  • Eric Hosmer (Padres): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D60
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, Day-to-Day
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Jhoulys Chacín (Rockies): Toe, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.