Rockies vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 3

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 03, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Padres (60-46) are -300 favorites vs the Rockies (46-60)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Chad Kuhl (6-6), 4.59 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (3-5), 4.42 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Colorado Rockies (+240) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-300) on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).

The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 46-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 50-56 ATS.

Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+2.5 -120O 8.5 -120+240
Padres -2.5 +100U 8.5 +100-300

Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+16.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+9.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 66% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+12.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 35 games (+10.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)

Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Jorge Alfaro 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Manny Machado 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Trent Grisham 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Jorge Alfaro 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Jurickson Profar 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Manny Machado 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Trent Grisham 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Jorge Alfaro 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Manny Machado 0.5 -110 0.5 -130
Trent Grisham 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Blake Snell 6.5 -105 6.5 -135
Chad Kuhl 3.5 -105 3.5 -135
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 53 games (+14.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 55 games (+7.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 49 of their last 95 games (+3.95 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 52 games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 81 games (+13.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 51 games at home (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 105 games (+4.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 57-49 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 1.33% ROI).

  • 46-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -3.71% ROI
  • 49-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -6.65% ROI
  • 51-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -2.76% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 50-56 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -4.98% ROI).

  • 60-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 1.86% ROI
  • 48-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -10.31% ROI
  • 55-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 1.53% ROI

Chad Kuhl has thrown his fastball for a strike just 56% (725/1,307) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.

Chad Kuhl has thrown breaking pitches 77% of the time (644/837) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 99th Percentile.

Chad Kuhl has a strike rate of just 62% (515/831) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 69% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 36% of Chad Kuhl’s fastballs (469/1,307) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.

Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Blake Snell has walked 41 of 222 batters (18%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 18 of 76 batters (24%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 86 of 642 right-handed batters (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (90 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are just 6-14 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 10-25 (.286) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Rockies are just 16-33 (.327) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Rockies are 7-45 (.135) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 20-8 (.714) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Padres are 6-32 (.158) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Padres are 50-13 (.794) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Padres are 30-22 (.577) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Rockies are batting .284 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .350 (2,179 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Rockies are batting .305 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Padres hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,407 of their 4,258 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .671 (1,896 PA’s) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.6

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.2 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.6

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .174 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .218.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Padres pitchers have walked 58 of 952 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D60
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Jhoulys Chacín (Rockies): Toe, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.