- The Padres are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rockies / Padres TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV
The Colorado Rockies (+155) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-190) on July 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Rockies are 42-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 57-47 ATS.
Rockies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 3-9, 6.49 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 6-7, 3.25 ERA
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -120 | +155 |
| Padres | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 +100 | -190 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willi Castro has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+13.50 Units / 270% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+9.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+7.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+7.15 Units / 102% ROI)
- Kyle Karros has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+6.60 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+18.50 Units / 264% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+13.20 Units / 87% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael King has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 38% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+3.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (+3.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.80 Units / 29% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 56-51 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -4.27% ROI).
- 42-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -1.3% ROI
- 50-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.05 Units / -8.45% ROI
- 54-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -0.39% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 57-47 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 2.56% ROI).
- 53-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -1.99% ROI
- 48-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.55 Units / -11.57% ROI
- 56-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 3.1% ROI
Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Hunter Goodman | +280 |
| Manny Machado | +333 |
| Mickey Moniak | +375 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | +425 |
| Jackson Merrill | +450 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ty France | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake McCarthy | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jackson Merrill | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willi Castro | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Cole Carrigg | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Edouard Julien | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kyle Karros | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jackson Merrill | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 13-29 (.310) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Rockies are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 9-33 (.214) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Rockies are just 13-31 (.295) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 43-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Padres are 20-15 (.571) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Rockies (30th in runs allowed).
The Padres are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 39-1 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 39% this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
The Rockies are just 13-29 (-26.3% ROI) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Rockies have won just 62% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
The Rockies have scored first in just 39% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have an average Bat Speed of 66.3 MPH this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Padres are 33-20 (.623) against the run line (14.8% ROI) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Padres have answered-back in 37% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The Padres are 24-11 (.686) against the run line (12.2% ROI) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Rockies (30th in runs allowed).
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 63% of their games this season — highest in MLB.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.54 (940.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB.
Rockies pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .495 this season — highest in MLB.
Opponents are hitting .289 against Rockies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .267 against Padres pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 203 times this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.
Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 562 times this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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