Rockies vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 29

San Diego Padres' Xander Bogaerts in action during a baseball game against the Washington Nationals, Thursday, May 25, 2023, in Washington. The Padres won 8-6.
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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  • The Padres are -155 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Rockies / Padres TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV

The Colorado Rockies (+125) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-155) on July 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Rockies are 42-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 57-48 ATS.

Rockies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Gabriel Hughes 0-2, 2.84 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Kyle Hart 0-2, 5.22 ERA

Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -175O 8 -102+125
Padres -1.5 +145U 8 -118-155

Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Willi Castro has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+21.00 Units / 350% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Troy Johnston has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Troy Johnston has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+17.50 Units / 219% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+13.20 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.50 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Walks Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+9.40 Units / 134% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+3.15 Units / 21% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 57-51 against the Run Line (-4.7 Units / -3.49% ROI).

  • 42-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -2.21% ROI
  • 51-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.05 Units / -7.54% ROI
  • 54-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.32% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 57-48 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 1.78% ROI).

  • 54-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -1.16% ROI
  • 49-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.55 Units / -10.62% ROI
  • 56-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 2.13% ROI

Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Hunter Goodman +250
Manny Machado +333
Mickey Moniak +350
Fernando Tatis Jr. +450
Jackson Merrill +450

Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ty France 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jake McCarthy 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Manny Machado 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jackson Merrill 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ezequiel Tovar 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Edouard Julien 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Cole Carrigg 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Kyle Karros 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Manny Machado 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are just 13-29 (.310) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Rockies are just 42-66 (.389) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 18-37 (.327) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 39-1 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .903.

The Padres are 43-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Padres are 20-15 (.571) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Rockies (30th in runs allowed).

The Rockies are batting just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have a swing rate of 41% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have chased 37% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Rockies have scored first in just 39% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting .380 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .353 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .661 (1,879 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of .766 (1,304 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 63% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .291 against Rockies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.55 (948.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games at home this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .266 against Padres pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 565 times this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.