Rockies vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 10, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Padres (35-22) are -250 favorites vs the Rockies (25-32)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Chad Kuhl (4-2), 3.167 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Joseph Musgrove (6-0), 1.636 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSD

The Colorado Rockies (+200) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-250) on Friday, June 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 25-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 32-25 ATS.

Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -105O 7.5 -115+200
Padres -1.5 -115U 7.5 -105-250

Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Rockies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Connor Joe has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+13.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+6.35 Units / 127% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+7.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 46 games (+6.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 60% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 27-30 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -12.16% ROI).

  • 25-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -5.13% ROI
  • 30-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 3.82% ROI
  • 25-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.15 Units / -12.98% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 32-25 against the Run Line (+6.9 Units / 9.22% ROI).

  • 35-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.65 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 25-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -11.59% ROI
  • 30-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 4.25% ROI

Chad Kuhl has allowed a slugging percentage of .676 (25 Total Bases / 37 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — fourth Percentile.

Chad Kuhl has allowed a slugging percentage of .396 (40 Total Bases / 101 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .252 — sixth Percentile.

Chad Kuhl has recorded 17 of his 22 strikeouts (77%) vs left-handed batters with his slider this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Chad Kuhl has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (311/577) since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.

Joseph Musgrove: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Joe Musgrove has walked 3 of 110 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 96th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has allowed an OBP of just .220 (109 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .192 (20-for-104) against Joe Musgrove this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (38/61) against Joe Musgrove’s curve and slider this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are 5-24 (.172) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Rockies are 17-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Rockies are 3-25 (.107) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 4-15 (.211) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Padres are just 27-4 (.871) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Padres are 29-7 (.806) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Padres are just 29-4 (.879) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

The Rockies are batting .278 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rockies hitters are slugging just .349 on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Rockies hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Rockies hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Padres hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Padres hitters have drawn 67 walks in 627 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 57% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 453.2

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Rockies have allowed 5.88 runs per game (188/32) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.

The Padres have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .183 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

The Padres have won 58% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D10
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.