- The Padres (35-22) are -250 favorites vs the Rockies (25-32)
- Rockies starting pitcher: Chad Kuhl (4-2), 3.167 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Joseph Musgrove (6-0), 1.636 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSD
The Colorado Rockies (+200) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-250) on Friday, June 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rockies are 25-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 32-25 ATS.
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -105 | O 7.5 -115 | +200 |
| Padres | -1.5 -115 | U 7.5 -105 | -250 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+13.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+6.35 Units / 127% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+7.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 46 games (+6.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 25% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 60% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 27-30 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -12.16% ROI).
- 25-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -5.13% ROI
- 30-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 3.82% ROI
- 25-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.15 Units / -12.98% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 32-25 against the Run Line (+6.9 Units / 9.22% ROI).
- 35-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.65 Units / 12.81% ROI
- 25-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -11.59% ROI
- 30-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 4.25% ROI
Chad Kuhl: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chad Kuhl has allowed a slugging percentage of .676 (25 Total Bases / 37 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — fourth Percentile.
Chad Kuhl has allowed a slugging percentage of .396 (40 Total Bases / 101 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .252 — sixth Percentile.
Chad Kuhl has recorded 17 of his 22 strikeouts (77%) vs left-handed batters with his slider this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Chad Kuhl has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (311/577) since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Joseph Musgrove: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Musgrove has walked 3 of 110 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 96th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed an OBP of just .220 (109 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .192 (20-for-104) against Joe Musgrove this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (38/61) against Joe Musgrove’s curve and slider this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are 5-24 (.172) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Rockies are 17-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Rockies are 3-25 (.107) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 4-15 (.211) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Padres are just 27-4 (.871) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Padres are 29-7 (.806) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Padres are just 29-4 (.879) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .278 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters are slugging just .349 on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Rockies hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Rockies hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Padres hitters have drawn 67 walks in 627 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 57% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 453.2
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rockies have allowed 5.88 runs per game (188/32) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .183 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
The Padres have won 58% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D10
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
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