- The Padres (37-23) are -185 favorites vs the Rockies (26-34)
- Rockies starting pitcher: Germán Márquez (2-5), 6.492 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (0-3), 5.684 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSD
The Colorado Rockies (+150) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-185) on Sunday, June 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rockies are 26-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 33-27 ATS.
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -115 | +150 |
| Padres | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -105 | -185 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Garrett Hampson has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Garrett Hampson has hit the Total Bases Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- Garrett Hampson has hit the Hits Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nomar Mazara has hit the Total Bases Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 49 games (+7.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+3.10 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 59 games (+10.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 59 games (+6.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 29-31 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -10.3% ROI).
- 26-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -5.12% ROI
- 32-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 5.16% ROI
- 26-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.5 Units / -14.31% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 33-27 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 7.56% ROI).
- 37-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 11.41% ROI
- 27-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -9.52% ROI
- 31-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 2.01% ROI
Germán Márquez: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .854 (41 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .429 — third Percentile.
German Marquez has thrown his curveball 57% of the time (150/263) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .438 (21-for-48) against German Marquez on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .266 — third Percentile.
German Marquez has allowed an OBP of .357 (277 PA’s) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — sixth Percentile.
Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 68 of 495 right-handed batters (14%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 80 of 633 batters (13%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 35 of 224 batters (16%) versus the heart of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 27 of 166 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 4-13 (.235) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Rockies are just 9-23 (.281) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 23-26 (.469) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 4-16 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Padres are 20-11 (.645) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Padres are 9-3 (.750) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Padres are 17-12 (.586) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .278 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .305 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Rockies are batting .284 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Rockies hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Padres hitters are slugging just .351 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Padres hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 453.2
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .183 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .185 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .224.
The Padres have won 58% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .146 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): COVID-19, D10
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D10
- Michael Clevinger (Padres): COVID-19, D10
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
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