Rockies vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 12, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Padres (37-23) are -185 favorites vs the Rockies (26-34)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Germán Márquez (2-5), 6.492 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (0-3), 5.684 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSD

The Colorado Rockies (+150) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-185) on Sunday, June 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 26-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 33-27 ATS.

Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -135O 8 -115+150
Padres -1.5 +110U 8 -105-185

Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Rockies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Garrett Hampson has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Garrett Hampson has hit the Total Bases Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Garrett Hampson has hit the Hits Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.45 Units / 6% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nomar Mazara has hit the Total Bases Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 49 games (+7.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+3.10 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 59 games (+10.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 59 games (+6.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.15 Units / 15% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 29-31 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -10.3% ROI).

  • 26-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -5.12% ROI
  • 32-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 5.16% ROI
  • 26-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.5 Units / -14.31% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 33-27 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 7.56% ROI).

  • 37-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 11.41% ROI
  • 27-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -9.52% ROI
  • 31-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 2.01% ROI

German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .854 (41 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .429 — third Percentile.

German Marquez has thrown his curveball 57% of the time (150/263) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .438 (21-for-48) against German Marquez on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .266 — third Percentile.

German Marquez has allowed an OBP of .357 (277 PA’s) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — sixth Percentile.

Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Blake Snell has walked 68 of 495 right-handed batters (14%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 80 of 633 batters (13%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 35 of 224 batters (16%) versus the heart of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 27 of 166 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are just 4-13 (.235) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.

The Rockies are just 9-23 (.281) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 23-26 (.469) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 4-16 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Padres are 20-11 (.645) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Padres are 9-3 (.750) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Padres are 17-12 (.586) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Rockies are batting .278 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .305 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rockies are batting .284 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Rockies hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Padres hitters are slugging just .351 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.

Padres hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 453.2

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .183 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .185 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .224.

The Padres have won 58% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .146 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.

Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): COVID-19, D10
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D10
  • Michael Clevinger (Padres): COVID-19, D10
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.