- The Padres are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Germán Márquez, – ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell, – ERA
- Watch the game on BSSD
The Colorado Rockies (+180) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-225) on Thursday, March 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 6-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 12-12 ATS.
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -120 | O 7 +100 | +180 |
| Padres | -1.5 +100 | U 7 -120 | -225 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| David Dahl | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| David Dahl | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -140 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| David Dahl | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| German Marquez | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -125 |
| Blake Snell | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -135 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 109 games (+13.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 away games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 49% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 8-12 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -27.86% ROI).
- 6-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -32.6% ROI
- 6-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -37.25% ROI
- 13-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.55 Units / 29.91% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 12-12 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -2.31% ROI).
- 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -7.53% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -15.82% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 8.56% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 42 ABs ending on a two-strike fastball from German Marquez. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 61% (61/100) against German Marquez on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
German Marquez allowed a slugging percentage of .469 (330 Total Bases / 704 ABs) last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — second Percentile.
German Marquez allowed a slugging percentage of .586 (99 Total Bases / 169 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — second Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 107 of 880 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 44 of 273 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell walked 21 of 127 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season (128 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 80.2
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 15-33 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 27-54 (.333) on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Rockies are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 15-55 (.214) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 31-12 (.721) when scoring in the first inning last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Padres are 22-2 (.917) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Padres are 74-25 (.747) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Padres are 46-37 (.554) on the road last season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
The Rockies are batting .306 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .632 (5,954 PA’s) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres hitters are slugging just .383 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Padres hitters had an OBP of .327 (3,260 PA’s) on the road last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Padres hitters had an OPS of just .672 (2,955 PA’s) at home last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rockies pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 8% of innings played last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 42% against Padres pitchers last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .193 against Padres pitchers with the shift last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .221.
The Padres have won 42% of games in which their opponents scored first last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D15
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Adam Engel (Padres): Hamstring, D10
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D15
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Joseph Musgrove (Padres): Toe, D15
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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