Rockies vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 18

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(AP Photo/Derrick Tuskan)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Padres are -275 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Tyson Blach
  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Colorado Rockies (+220) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-275) on Monday, September 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).

The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 56-93 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 74-76 ATS.

Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 +110O 8 -105+220
Padres -1.5 -135U 8 -115-275

Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 85.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+10.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 away games (+10.25 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Alan Trejo has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.05 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Nolan Jones has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+9.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.80 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+17.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Luis Campusano has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+10.80 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Blake Snell has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)

Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Ryan McMahon 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Elias Diaz 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600

Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brenton Doyle 0.5 -130 0.5 +100
Ryan McMahon 0.5 -135 0.5 +105
Elehuris Montero 0.5 -155 0.5 +120
Elias Diaz 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +270 0.5 -375
Ryan McMahon 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Elias Diaz 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +250 0.5 -350

Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Wacha 5.5 -115 5.5 -115
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 59 games (+14.78 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 away games (+12.08 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 59 games (+11.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 70 away games (+10.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 66 games at home (+12.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 49 games at home (+10.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.33 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.92 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 74-75 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.45% ROI).

  • 56-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -8.41% ROI
  • 68-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.95 Units / -12.1% ROI
  • 80-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.1 Units / 3.74% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 74-76 against the Run Line (-7.75 Units / -4.23% ROI).

  • 72-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -33.65 Units / -15.39% ROI
  • 64-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.05 Units / -12.58% ROI
  • 76-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 3.99% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

starting pitcher – home

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are just 14-12 (.538) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Rockies are just 43-13 (.768) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Rockies are just 39-18 (.684) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The Rockies are just 37-23 (.617) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .438.

The Padres are just 11-113 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .130.

The Padres are just 9-34 (.209) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

The Padres are 45-7 (.865) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

team hitters – away

team hitters – home

team pitchers – away

team pitchers – home

Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
  • Timothy Hill (Padres): Finger, D60
  • Steven Wilson (Padres): Hip, D15
  • Jacob Cronenworth (Padres): Wrist, D10
  • Alek Jacob (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Ha-Seong Kim (Padres): Abdominal, Day-to-Day
  • Drew Carlton (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Gary Sánchez (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Matthew Carpenter (Padres): Elbow, D10
  • Joseph Musgrove (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Yu Darvish (Padres): Elbow, D15
  • David Knehr (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Justin Lawrence (Rockies): Ankle, Day-to-Day
  • Austin Gomber (Rockies): Back, D60
  • Kyle Freeland (Rockies): Oblique, D15
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Peter Lambert (Rockies): Bicep, D15
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Bard (Rockies): Forearm, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.