- The Padres are -300 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell
- Watch the game on SDPA
The Colorado Rockies (+240) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-300) on Tuesday, September 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-145).
The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 56-94 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 75-76 ATS.
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +120 | O 7.5 -115 | +240 |
| Padres | -1.5 -145 | U 7.5 -105 | -300 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 84.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Jones has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Elehuris Montero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alan Trejo has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+9.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 away games (+9.25 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+14.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Luis Campusano has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+12.25 Units / 123% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)
Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -650 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Feltner | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
| Blake Snell | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -120 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 60 games (+13.78 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 29 away games (+11.08 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 games (+10.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+11.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.33 Units / 56% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.92 Units / 48% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 74-76 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -2.03% ROI).
- 56-94 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.9 Units / -9.01% ROI
- 69-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.95 Units / -11.41% ROI
- 80-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.1 Units / 3.11% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 75-76 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -3.66% ROI).
- 73-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -32.65 Units / -14.75% ROI
- 65-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.05 Units / -11.9% ROI
- 76-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.5 Units / 3.35% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (272/1,122) against Ryan Feltner since last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 30% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .393 (33-for-84) against Ryan Feltner on low fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .272 — 0 Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has allowed a slugging percentage of .553 (52 Total Bases / 94 ABs) on fastballs away since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .379 — third Percentile.
43% of Ryan Feltner’s called strikeouts are elevated since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 93 of 692 batters (13%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 58% (1,723/2,964) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of batters they faced (228/692 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — second Percentile.
24 of Blake Snell’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 14-12 (.538) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Rockies are just 43-13 (.768) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rockies are just 82-47 (.636) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Rockies are just 39-18 (.684) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .438.
The Padres are just 6-120 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Padres are just 14-28 (.333) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Padres are just 11-113 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .130.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are just 14-12 (.538) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Rockies are batting .276 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (5,818 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .654 (2,819 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters are slugging .459 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Padres are just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .438.
Padres hitters have an OPS of .801 (1,586 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Padres are just 2-13 (-73.5% ROI) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.53 (688.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Padres pitchers have walked 2 of 53 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Padres have allowed 3.78 runs per game (593/157) at home since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- Timothy Hill (Padres): Finger, D60
- Steven Wilson (Padres): Hip, D15
- Jacob Cronenworth (Padres): Wrist, D10
- Alek Jacob (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Ha-Seong Kim (Padres): Abdominal, Day-to-Day
- Drew Carlton (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Gary Sánchez (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Padres): Elbow, D10
- Joseph Musgrove (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Yu Darvish (Padres): Elbow, D15
- David Knehr (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Justin Lawrence (Rockies): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Austin Gomber (Rockies): Back, D60
- Kyle Freeland (Rockies): Oblique, D15
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Peter Lambert (Rockies): Bicep, D15
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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