- The Phillies are -185 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sánchez
- Watch the game on NBCS-PH+
The Colorado Rockies (+150) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-185) on Saturday, April 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Rockies vs Phillies Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 6-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 8-13 ATS.
Rockies vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -125 | O 10.5 -115 | +150 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +105 | U 10.5 -105 | -185 |
Rockies vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.10 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+8.90 Units / 99% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.95 Units / 55% ROI)
Phillies vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Phillies vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Cristian Pache | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Phillies vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Phillies vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Sanchez | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -155 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+2.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.20 Units / 43% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+0.80 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 6-15 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -41.32% ROI).
- 6-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -32.69% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -10.02% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 2.46% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 8-13 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -33.79% ROI).
- 9-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -22.42% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -9.21% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 1.09% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
29 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since last season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (21/150) against Kyle Freeland this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 14% (12 SO in 89 PAs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (2/29) against Kyle Freeland on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rockies are just 25-13 (.658) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .806.
The Rockies are just 36-36 (.500) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Rockies are just 13-31 (.295) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 30-62 (.326) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Phillies are just 82-7 (.921) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Phillies are just 0-8 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Phillies are 1-10 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .037.
The Phillies are 12-68 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.3 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .348 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .422 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
29% of Phillies hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .773 (561 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Rockies have allowed 7.60 runs per game (76/10) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.74.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 83 of 789 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 5.78 (109.0 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 9 double plays in 142 opportunities (6%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Nicholas Nelson (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
- Andrew Bellatti (Phillies): Tricep, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Elbow, D10
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Forearm, D15
- Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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