Rockies vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 23, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The are favorites vs the
  • Rockies starting pitcher: José Ureña
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler
  • Watch the game on Peacock

The Colorado Rockies () visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies () on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Rockies vs Phillies Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 6-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 8-14 ATS.

Rockies vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies O
Phillies U

Rockies vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 75.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.40 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.40 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.10 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.95 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.25 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+9.90 Units / 99% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.65 Units / 30% ROI)

Phillies vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
C.J. Cron 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Edmundo Sosa 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Phillies vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
C.J. Cron 0.5 -155 0.5 +120
Edmundo Sosa 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Phillies vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +275 0.5 -400
C.J. Cron 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Edmundo Sosa 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +300 0.5 -450
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Phillies vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zack Wheeler 6.5 -145 6.5 +110
Jose Urena 3.5 -115 3.5 -115
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.35 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.60 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.45 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+1.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 7-15 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -35% ROI).

  • 6-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -35.46% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -13.8% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 6.6% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 8-14 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -35.99% ROI).

  • 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -18.14% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -13.11% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 5.2% ROI

Jose Urena has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (55 Total Bases / 66 ABs) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .417 — 0 Percentile.

Jose Urena has allowed an OBP of .417 (278 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .303 — first Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .344 (84-for-244) against Jose Urena since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.

Jose Urena has allowed a slugging percentage of .875 (21 Total Bases / 24 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .320 — 0 Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 53% (20/38) against Zack Wheeler when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has a strike rate of just 54% when ahead in the count (ninth lowest)– 11th Percentile and 76% when behind in the count this season (tied for ninth highest among qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (11/25) against Zack Wheeler on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 28% (17/61) against Zack Wheeler with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — third Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Rockies are just 25-13 (.658) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .807.

The Rockies are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.

The Rockies are just 4-3 (.571) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Rockies are just 15-50 (.231) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Phillies are just 0-5 (.000) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.

The Phillies are 16-67 (.193) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Phillies are just 83-7 (.922) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.

The Phillies are 51-25 (.671) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .579.

The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .345 (3,490 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of .801 (3,490 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Rockies are batting .306 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Phillies are batting .336 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Phillies hitters are slugging .536 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.

The Phillies are batting .204 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .153.

Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .336 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.42 (830.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.

The Rockies have allowed 7.60 runs per game (76/10) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.73.

Phillies pitchers have walked 85 of 827 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 9 double plays in 152 opportunities (6%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Phillies vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Elbow, D15
  • Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D10
  • Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
  • Nicholas Nelson (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
  • Andrew Bellatti (Phillies): Tricep, D15
  • Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
  • Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Elbow, D10
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): SI Joint/Glute, Day-to-Day
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Forearm, D15
  • Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
  • Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.