Rockies vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 12

Pittsburgh Pirates' Spencer Horwitz rounds the bases after hitting a solo home run in the seventh inning of a baseball game against the Atlanta Braves, Friday, Sept. 26, 2025, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Colin Hubbard)
(AP Photo/Colin Hubbard)
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  • The Pirates are -325 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
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The Colorado Rockies (+260) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-325) on May 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Rockies are 16-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 22-18 ATS.

Rockies vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 2-4, 6.81 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 5-2, 2.36 ERA

Rockies vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 +115O 7.5 -110+260
Pirates -1.5 -140U 7.5 -110-325

Rockies vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 71.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+20.00 Units / 500% ROI)
  • Mickey Moniak has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Troy Johnston has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.97 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.60 Units / 74% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+20.85 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+11.80 Units / 131% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+11.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Konnor Griffin has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.40 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+7.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+6.10 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 22-19 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.1% ROI).

  • 16-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 4.15% ROI
  • 19-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -12.03% ROI
  • 22-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 2.34% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 22-18 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 7.5% ROI).

  • 22-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -1.17% ROI
  • 22-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 3.94% ROI
  • 18-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -13.48% ROI

Pirates vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Brandon Lowe +350
Oneil Cruz +375
Marcell Ozuna +525
Hunter Goodman +550
Mickey Moniak +600

Pirates vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oneil Cruz 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Brandon Lowe 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Spencer Horwitz 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Pirates vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
TJ Rumfield 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Brandon Lowe 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Joey Bart 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Konnor Griffin 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Rockies are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Rockies are just 15-19 (.441) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rockies are just 16-25 (.390) this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 3-15 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Pirates are 13-5 (.722) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Pirates are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Pirates are 20-3 (.870) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Pirates are just 1-10 (.091) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Rockies hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have struck out in 30% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have chased 39% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .283 at home this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 490 of their 1,632 plate appearances (30%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 27% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .457 this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus the bottom of the order this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in the first 5 innings this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .223 against Pirates pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .351 this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed 32 home runs this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.