- The Pirates are -165 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Connor Seabold
- Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The Colorado Rockies (+140) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-165) on Tuesday, May 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Pirates are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Rockies vs Pirates Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 14-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 21-15 ATS.
Rockies vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 +100 | +140 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -120 | -165 |
Rockies vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+8.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+6.20 Units / 88% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+6.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Pirates vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Pirates vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
Pirates vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Pirates vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Seabold | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Luis Ortiz | 5.5 +155 | 5.5 -210 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 16-20 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -14.89% ROI).
- 14-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -7.53% ROI
- 15-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.5 Units / -21.04% ROI
- 21-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 12.6% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 21-15 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 8.29% ROI).
- 21-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 23.9% ROI
- 17-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -3.79% ROI
- 17-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -3.53% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 12% (8/64) against Connor Seabold this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Connor Seabold has allowed an OPS of 1.556 (18 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .694 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (12-for-24) against Connor Seabold versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — tied for highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .242 — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .368 (14-for-38) against Connor Seabold this season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .226 — seventh Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rockies are just 52-27 (.658) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Rockies are just 41-36 (.532) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rockies are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Rockies are just 60-121 (.331) on the road since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .466.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Pirates are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Pirates are 20-7 (.741) when favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .601.
The Pirates are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
The Pirates are 13-0 (1.000) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.9 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.2.
The Rockies are batting .284 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have won just 44% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .171 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Pirates are batting just .228 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .297 (4,012 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Pirates are batting just .149 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 38 of 311 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rockies pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 710 of 7,597 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 2.58 (97.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chase De Jong (Pirates): Knee, D15
- Robert Zastryzny (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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