Rockies vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 22

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(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 22, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Rays are -275 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Tyson Blach
  • Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The Colorado Rockies (+220) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-275) on Tuesday, August 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The Rockies vs Rays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 47-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 64-61 ATS.

Rockies vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 +105O 9 -120+220
Rays -1.5 -125U 9 +100-275

Rockies vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 85.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Nolan Jones has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Nolan Jones has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+9.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 67% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+11.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+10.75 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 29 games (+10.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 46 games (+10.25 Units / 14% ROI)

Rays vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Michael Toglia 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Elias Diaz 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jose Siri 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000

Rays vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brenton Doyle 0.5 -140 0.5 +110
Michael Toglia 0.5 -135 0.5 +100
Elias Diaz 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Jose Siri 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Rays vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +275 0.5 -400
Michael Toglia 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Elias Diaz 0.5 +195 0.5 -250
Jose Siri 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Rays vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zack Littell 4.5 -140 4.5 +105
Ty Blach 2.5 -175 2.5 +135
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 112 games (+10.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+9.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 34 games (+5.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+12.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games at home (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+11.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 62 games at home (+4.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 6% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 59-63 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -4.6% ROI).

  • 47-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.15 Units / -8.97% ROI
  • 53-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.65 Units / -16.16% ROI
  • 68-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.6 Units / 8.01% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 64-61 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 1.37% ROI).

  • 75-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 1.86% ROI
  • 66-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.3 Units / 3.83% ROI
  • 55-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -17 Units / -12.44% ROI

Right-handed batters batted .312 (114-for-365) against Lucas Giolito in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.

Lucas Giolito allowed a slugging percentage of .542 (198 Total Bases / 365 ABs) against right-handed batters in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — second Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .341 (74-for-217) against Ty Blach since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .227 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .523 (23-for-44) against Ty Blach on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .328 — 0 Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Littell has walked 7 of 233 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 13% (2/15) against Zack Littell — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 22% (64/294) against Zack Littell since last season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .329 (27-for-82) against Zack Littell when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .227 — first Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Rockies are just 12-10 (.545) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Rockies are just 32-14 (.696) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Rockies are just 77-40 (.658) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Rockies are just 23-19 (.548) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Rays are 34-12 (.739) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .563.

The Rays are just 3-8 (.273) after a win as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .438.

The Rays are just 10-22 (.312) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.

The Rays are 14-21 (.400) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Rockies have won just 51% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies are batting .278 at home since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .288 (1,343 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rays have scored first in 62% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters have an OPS of .784 (3,809 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .732.

Rays hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,513 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Rays hitters have an OPS of .767 (1,452 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rays pitchers have walked 164 of 2,558 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rays pitchers have walked 739 of 10,571 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
  • Taylor Walls (Rays): Oblique, D10
  • Kevin Kelly (Rays): Undisclosed, D15
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Shane McClanahan (Rays): Forearm, D60
  • Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Elbow, D10
  • Robert Anderson (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, D10
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
  • Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.