Rockies vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 23, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Rays are -275 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
  • Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The Colorado Rockies (+220) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-275) on Wednesday, August 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).

The Rockies vs Rays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 47-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 65-61 ATS.

Rockies vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 +100O 8 +100+220
Rays -1.5 -135U 8 -120-275

Rockies vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 85.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Jones has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 31 games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Austin Gomber has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 35 games (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 away games (+8.10 Units / 72% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+12.15 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+11.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+11.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+10.65 Units / 118% ROI)

Rays vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Jose Siri 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Rays vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 0.5 -155 0.5 +120
Brenton Doyle 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Jose Siri 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Rays vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Jose Siri 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Rays vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Civale 5.5 -120 5.5 -110
Austin Gomber 4.5 +125 4.5 -165
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 113 games (+9.45 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games (+8.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games at home (+12.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 62 games at home (+12.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 63 games at home (+5.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 63 games at home (+5.25 Units / 8% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 59-64 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -5.27% ROI).

  • 47-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -9.7% ROI
  • 54-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.65 Units / -15.27% ROI
  • 68-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.6 Units / 7.2% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 65-61 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 2.03% ROI).

  • 76-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 2.34% ROI
  • 67-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.3 Units / 4.51% ROI
  • 55-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -18 Units / -13.07% ROI

Opponents are hitting .296 (153-for-517) against Austin Gomber this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — third Percentile.

Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 14% (3 SO in 21 PAs) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (2 games) — lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .602 (59 Total Bases / 98 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — fourth Percentile.

Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 14% (82 SO in 564 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Aaron Civale has not allowed a HR in any of his last six starts dating back to July 19th — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 12.

Aaron Civale has thrown his cutter 45% of the time (341/752) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total CUT; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (11/88) against Aaron Civale over the last 14 days (2 games) — tied for lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

Aaron Civale has thrown his cutter 47% of the time (175/374) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total CUT; League Avg: 20% — 95th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Rockies are just 32-15 (.681) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.

The Rockies are just 12-10 (.545) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.

The Rockies are just 36-9 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Rockies are just 56-50 (.528) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Rays are 14-21 (.400) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Rays are 35-12 (.745) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .562.

The Rays are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .288 (1,346 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

The Rockies have won just 51% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.6 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.

Rays hitters are slugging .451 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Rays have scored first in 62% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters have an OPS of .785 (3,824 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .731.

Rays hitters are slugging .453 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.09 (553.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 741 of 10,608 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 164 of 2,567 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
  • Taylor Walls (Rays): Oblique, D10
  • Kevin Kelly (Rays): Undisclosed, D15
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Shane McClanahan (Rays): Forearm, D60
  • Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Elbow, D10
  • Robert Anderson (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, D10
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
  • Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.