- The Red Sox are -300 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rockies / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+240) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-300) on Wednesday, July 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA, MA.
This season, the Rockies are 21-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 48-44 ATS.
Rockies vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela 3-12, 6.65 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito 5-1, 3.70 ERA
Rockies vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +2.5 -140 | O 9 -115 | +240 |
| Red Sox | -2.5 +115 | U 9 -105 | -300 |
Rockies vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 69.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Antonio Senzatela has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Antonio Senzatela has hit the Walks Allowed Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Antonio Senzatela has hit the Strikeouts Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Antonio Senzatela has hit the Earned Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 59% ROI)
- Antonio Senzatela has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+0.40 Units / 10% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 86% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+9.45 Units / 105% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+6.90 Units / 110% ROI)
- Lucas Giolito has hit the Earned Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 67% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 36-56 against the Run Line (-16.9 Units / -16.59% ROI).
- 21-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -33.85 Units / -36.77% ROI
- 37-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.8 Units / -18.78% ROI
- 51-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.45 Units / 10.43% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 48-44 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 2.72% ROI).
- 48-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.66 Units / -5.4% ROI
- 45-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.71 Units / -5.64% ROI
- 46-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -3.6% ROI
Red Sox vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mickey Moniak (COL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Red Sox vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Mayer (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Thairo Estrada (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| David Hamilton (BOS) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Red Sox vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Carlos Narvaez (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Roman Anthony (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Abraham Toro (BOS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Red Sox vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Giolito (BOS) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
| Antonio Senzatela (COL) | 3.5 +130 | 3.5 -175 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
2-3-4 Hitters have hit .408 against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .389 (56-for-144) against Antonio Senzatela when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .355 (55-for-155) against Antonio Senzatela’s non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .224 — 0 Percentile.
Antonio Senzatela has allowed an OPS of .964 (162 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .687 — first Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito has a first-pitch strike rate of 76% (44/58) in his last two starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — 97th Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has a strike rate of 72% (144/200) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of just .160 (4 Total Bases / 25 ABs) over the past seven days (1 game) — 3rd best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .351 — 95th Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 12.0 innings pitched — Edwin Diaz has the longest active streak at 23.1.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rockies are just 13-6 (.684) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Rockies are just 56-21 (.718) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.
The Rockies are just 19-61 (.238) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Rockies are just 68-10 (.861) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Red Sox are just 2-29 (.065) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Red Sox are just 7-87 (.074) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .137.
The Red Sox are just 4-178 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 22% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 23% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have won just 25% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 24% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters are slugging .537 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
The Red Sox are batting .274 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .798 (1,078 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Red Sox pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Red Sox pitchers over the last 14 days — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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