- The Red Sox are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Connor Seabold
- Red Sox starting pitcher: James Paxton
- Watch the game on NESN
The Colorado Rockies (+200) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-250) on Monday, June 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Rockies vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 27-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 33-33 ATS.
Rockies vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +110 | O 9.5 -115 | +200 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 -135 | U 9.5 -105 | -250 |
Rockies vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 87.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+12.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+9.05 Units / 90% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 19 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+9.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+8.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Reese McGuire has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 70% ROI)
Red Sox vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Montes | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Red Sox vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -200 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Coco Montes | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Red Sox vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Coco Montes | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Red Sox vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Seabold | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -105 |
| James Paxton | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -115 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+11.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 65 games (+8.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 48 games (+7.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 48 games (+6.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+6.20 Units / 10% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+9.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 53 games (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games at home (+0.90 Units / 5% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 32-35 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -7.56% ROI).
- 27-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -7.14% ROI
- 28-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -20.13% ROI
- 39-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.7 Units / 11.88% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 33-33 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -6.5% ROI).
- 33-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 1.41% ROI
- 36-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 6.93% ROI
- 28-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.4 Units / -16.91% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .069 (2-for-29) against Connor Seabold — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .230 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .128 (5-for-39) against Connor Seabold — tied for 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .228 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (7/30) against Connor Seabold — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Connor Seabold has allowed a slugging percentage of .622 (46 Total Bases / 74 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .434 — fourth Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (17/64) against James Paxton this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
James Paxton has a strikeout rate of 33% (36 SO in 109 PAs) this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .067 (1-for-15) against James Paxton — tied for 3rd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .222 — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .147 (5-for-34) against James Paxton — 6th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .226 — 90th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rockies are just 32-16 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 47-41 (.534) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Rockies are just 63-30 (.677) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rockies are just 0-37 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Red Sox are just 7-15 (.318) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 1-3 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 6-16 (.273) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
The Red Sox are 26-1 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.6 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .343 (4,412 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Rockies have won just 48% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .358 (1,288 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .390 (254 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .410 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 68 of 583 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% against Rockies pitchers over the last 30 days (28 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.44 (1055.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 39 of 580 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.20 (846.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.05.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Red Sox pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 67% of opposing batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Red Sox vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D15
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Joely RodrÃguez (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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