- The Red Sox are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Robert Anderson
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford
- Watch the game on NESN
The Colorado Rockies (+185) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-225) on Tuesday, June 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Rockies vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 28-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 33-34 ATS.
Rockies vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +100 | O 9.5 -115 | +185 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 -120 | U 9.5 -105 | -225 |
Rockies vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 84.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+11.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+11.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 away games (+10.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+9.05 Units / 90% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+8.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+8.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Reese McGuire has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 70% ROI)
Red Sox vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Red Sox vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Red Sox vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
Red Sox vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Anderson | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +130 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+12.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 49 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+9.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 49 games (+7.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.85 Units / 14% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+9.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 54 games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 33-35 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -6.22% ROI).
- 28-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -4.3% ROI
- 28-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.05 Units / -21.3% ROI
- 40-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.7 Units / 13.05% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 33-34 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -7.71% ROI).
- 33-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -1.69% ROI
- 36-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 5.33% ROI
- 29-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.4 Units / -15.31% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Anderson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 39% (9/23) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Chase Anderson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 43% (19/44) over the last 14 days (2 games) — lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Chase Anderson had a first-pitch strike rate of just 39% (9/23) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 16% (7/44) against Chase Anderson on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford’s K:BB ratio is 13.0 (26/2) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 2.5 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 47 of Kutter Crawford’s 96 fastballs out of the zone (49%) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has walked 2 of 81 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 40% (119/295) against Kutter Crawford this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rockies are just 39-75 (.342) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Rockies are just 47-41 (.534) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Rockies are just 14-26 (.350) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Rockies are just 63-30 (.677) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Red Sox are just 7-15 (.318) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 6-29 (.171) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Red Sox are just 9-92 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .126.
The Red Sox are 12-23 (.343) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .215.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .343 (4,412 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.9 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.9 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .339 (4,361 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Red Sox are batting .287 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .357 (1,326 PA’s) at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have walked 69 of 593 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.44 (1055.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 40 of 590 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.20 (846.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.05.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 57% of their games this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Red Sox pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Red Sox vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D15
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Joely RodrÃguez (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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