- The Red Sox are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Whitlock
- Watch the game on NESN
The Colorado Rockies (+185) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-225) on Wednesday, June 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Rockies vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 29-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 33-35 ATS.
Rockies vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | O 10 -105 | +185 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 -130 | U 10 -115 | -225 |
Rockies vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 75.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+12.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+11.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+10.70 Units / 97% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Reese McGuire has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+8.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.20 Units / 68% ROI)
Red Sox vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Red Sox vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Christian Arroyo | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
Red Sox vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Red Sox vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
| Garrett Whitlock | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+10.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 46 games (+8.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+8.15 Units / 10% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 55 games (+1.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 34-35 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -4.91% ROI).
- 29-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -1.74% ROI
- 29-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.05 Units / -19.69% ROI
- 40-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.6 Units / 11.4% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 33-35 against the Run Line (-7.95 Units / -8.84% ROI).
- 33-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -4.42% ROI
- 37-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.9 Units / 6.59% ROI
- 29-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.5 Units / -16.55% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (35/89) against Austin Gomber on elevated fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of 1.300 (63 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .747 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .867 (39 Total Bases / 45 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .442 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .780 (46 Total Bases / 59 ABs) on low fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .425 — first Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Whitlock has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 80% (84/105) of opposing batters this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock has walked 14 of 300 left-handed batters (5%) since the 2021 season — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — 93rd Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock has a strike rate of 68% (1,940/2,858) since the 2021 season — tied for 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 64% — 95th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .118 (2-for-17) against Garrett Whitlock over the last 14 days (2 games) — 4th best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .255 — 93rd Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rockies are just 48-41 (.539) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Rockies are just 33-16 (.673) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 14-26 (.350) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Red Sox are just 7-16 (.304) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 6-16 (.273) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Red Sox are just 6-29 (.171) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Red Sox are 24-2 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .855.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .650 (722 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .285 (722 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have won just 50% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .333 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .395 (261 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Red Sox are batting .297 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 70 of 603 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 41 of 600 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Red Sox pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.20 (846.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Red Sox vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D15
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Joely RodrÃguez (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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